Aldana Favored Against Chiasson
In a women’s bantamweight bout, Irene Aldana is favored on the UFC betting odds against Macy Chiasson. This will be the first time since 2019 that the Mexican fighter opens as a betting favorite. She has won three of her last four fights as Chiasson is looking to win a second straight fight after earning a close decision against Norma Dumont.
Keyword for Aldana: Space
Aldana has long been touted as one of the brighter women’s prospects even before coming to the UFC. She lost her first two fights but has since gone 6-2 in the promotion and is on the cusp of a title shot. Versed in many aspects of MMA, Aldana’s best weapon is her boxing.
Not many fighters outside Holly Holm can outbox and outmaneuver Aldana. She fights at a hurried pace as evidenced by the 11+ combined significant strikes landed per minute in her bouts.
While Aldana absorbs more significant strikes than she lands, the stats are a bit skewed as Holm, Katlyn Chookagian, and Leslie Smith account for most of them. Chiasson is not on the level of these strikers so Aldana is the favorite to bet online as a result.
Chiasson Could Put Everyone To Sleep
With all due respect to Chiasson, she’s got the type of “fighting” style that can put off the most diehard MMA fan. Chiasson is what you can label as a “neutralizer” as she wins fights by avoiding it. She’ll tie up her opponents, push them up against the cage, and wear them down so that they can’t harm her.
It makes for an atrocious viewing experience but her backers won’t mind, especially when she’s at plus-money on the sportsbook. Chiasson absorbs just 2.56 significant strikes per minute. Despite averaging over 10 minutes in seven UFC fights, she’s been hit more than 40 times just once. And it came against Raquel Pennington, a former title challenger.
The 31-year-old is also big and has fought at 145 pounds. With that size, she can literally body the smaller 135-pounders and earn a decision win. These props tend to be the best UFC bets with Chiasson.
Aldana vs Chiasson Head-to-Head
Chiasson has a size advantage over Aldana. She’s two inches taller with a 3.5-inch reach advantage. However, Aldana has an advantage in not having to cut as much weight as Chiasson. Three of Chiasson’s last four bouts have gone to decision.
Aldana vs Chiasson Fight Information
- Fighters: Aldana (13-6-0) vs Chiasson (8-2-0)
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV, USA
- Day/Time: Saturday, Sept. 10, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Aldana vs Chiasson Live stream: UFC Fight Pass
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Aldana vs Chiasson Betting Lines
|Macy Chiasson||+135||2½ -200o|
|Irene Aldana||-165||2½ +160u|
Aldana vs Chiasson Prediction
In this bout, it will be a game of cat and mouse between Aldana and Chiasson. Aldana will look to box up Chiasson and maybe even knock her out while the latter will do her best to tie up Aldana and keep her from utilizing her crisp striking. It is also possible for Chiasson to try to use her reach advantage to keep Aldana at bay.
However, Aldana has a significant speed edge here. While Chiasson can hit hard enough to wobble Aldana, the favorite should be able to avoid the slower Chiasson’s strikes and light her up. Aldana should also be strong enough to keep Chiasson from outmuscling her in the clinch. Over three rounds, Aldana will do enough damage on Chiasson to get her hand raised.
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