Aspinall vs Tybura Prediction, Fight Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
Heavyweights Headline UFC Fight Night
There are some quality fixtures on the UFC fight card this week, including the main event between Tom Aspinall vs Marcin Tybura.
The sportsbook has Aspinall short at -450, so the 12-3 British fighter is expected to win and rise to the heavyweight ranks.

Sport betting markets have Tybura at +325, and he can’t be underestimated at the price, given his power.
Aspinall Still Eyes Title Shot
UFC betting odds have Aspinall heavily favored to win, and with good reason. However, he must bounce back from a knockout loss to Curtis Blaydes.
The 30-year-old lasted only 15 seconds against Blaydes and hasn’t fought in a year because of it. He needed time to recover, but the talent is there, and he isn’t lacking confidence.
“I just feel like that year off helped me find what’s right for my body,” Aspinall said. “It helped me figure myself out more as an athlete. Just going to the gym and smashing myself – four hours training a day and then just having the other 20 hours doing whatever I want — I’m not really like that anymore.
“I live as an athlete now. I make sure I get the right rest, the right recovery stuff. My diet is good. Everything is in a good spot now.”
His best performance came earlier last year when submitting Alexander Volkov in the first round. He has beaten some legends of the heavyweight division, and although he’s clearly a step behind the likes of Jon Jones and Ciryl Gane, he’s good enough to beat Tybura.
We expect online gambling markets to take plenty of money for the favorite.
Tybura Seeking Three
UFC odds have Tybura as the underdog despite winning consecutive fights against Blagoy Ivanov and Alexander Romanov.
The 37-year-old is a step below the best heavyweights in the division, which is why bookmakers aren’t giving him much respect. However, he has shown good power when knocking out Greg Hardy and Luis Henrique.
Our problem with Tybura is his efforts against the better heavyweights. He often struggles against the elite fighters, and Aspinall isn’t far off that mark.
The advantage for Tybura is his 24 wins. That’s double the amount of Aspinall, which can’t be overlooked. He has the experience advantage, and Aspinall hasn’t always been rock solid, so there is a chance of an upset result.
Aspinall vs Tybura Head-to-Head
This will be the first meeting between Aspinall vs Tybura.
Aspinall vs Tybura Fight Information
- Fighters: Aspinall (12-3) vs Tybura (24-7)
- Location: The O2 Arena, London, UK
- Day/Time: Saturday, July 22, 3 p.m. ET
- Aspinall vs Tybura Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Aspinall vs Tybura Betting Lines
Aspinall vs Tybura Picks and Prediction
We expect UFC live betting markets to shorten Aspinall’s odds significantly throughout the fight. Therefore, it’s best to take the -450 available.
Aspinall has the weight advantage and is fighting in front of a home crowd.
Aspinall is listed at -450 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Aspinall, you have a chance to win $22. Tybura is +325, offering a chance to win $325 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Aspinall an 81.82% chance to win, with Tybura at 23.53%.