Bautista vs Mix UFC 316, Prediction and Picks For June 7 : Add Submission (+230) to Betting Mix

Welcome another high-profile Bellator transfer to the UFC. This would be Patchy Mix, who is a world-class fighter with a tricky style. The former bantamweight title-holder is favored on the UFC fight odds against a tough matchup with Mario Bautista. This is warranted as Mix has a sizable grappling edge alongside an uncanny finishing ability. We’re sold on Mix and here’s why.

SIGNED! ✍️

Patchy Mix is now officially a member of the UFC and he makes his Octagon debut at #UFC316 next month! #UFCVegas106 pic.twitter.com/SAL3Ru2Dk3

— UFC_Asia (@UFC_Asia) May 18, 2025

Best Prop and Round Betting Picks for Bautista vs Mix

1. Mix (-185) Set for Statement Win

Plenty of Bellator stars flamed out in the UFC. But some, like Eddie Alvarez and Michael Chandler, have found success. Mix is more of the latter as he is in his prime (31 years old) and a shrewd pick on the UFC futures bets.

Mix is not short on confidence and can get it done against Bautista. He holds wins over prominent UFC contenders like Sergio Pettis and Kyoji Horiguchi and continues to evolve. Bautista is a striker with some grappling chops, which he used to edge Jose Aldo. But that’s nothing new for the newcomer.

The Xtreme Couture fighter has fought in bigger stages against tougher opponents. Bautista only has a 66% takedown defense. The likes of Ricky Simon and Da’Mon Blackshear took him down repeatedly. And if they can, Mix will. He’s also more dangerous than they are.

Mix is a lanky bantamweight, which he can use with his striking or to wrap around Bautista. Whether he wins by submission or decision, Mix to win at -185 is one of the best UFC bets today. Lock it in.

Bet on Patchy Mix to win (-185)

Patchy Mix debut this week 🙏 pic.twitter.com/ZS527ukRcJ

— Spinnin Backfist (@SpinninBackfist) June 2, 2025

2. Mix Sinks in the Choke for Submission

As far as UFC fight predictions, this is an even better bet. Mix to finish Bautista via submission can triple your wager. Of his victories, 65% have come via submission (13). He’s particularly versed in chokes, and his long arms (71.5-inch reach) aid in this. Bautista’s only submission loss came against a fighter with a similar build: Cory Sandhagen.

We can see Mix mixing up his striking to find a way to close the distance on Bautista. The underdog also does not have the power to keep Mix at bay. His last three contests were won by decision, and his only KO in the UFC came via a flying knee.

Fair play to Bautista, he is durable and aggressive. But this fan-friendly style will also be his undoing as he’ll need to find a way to keep Mix at bay to earn a decision. This is highly unlikely. We expect the UFC news on Saturday night to reflect a Mix victory. Put half a unit or so on Mix to win via submission as one of your best UFC picks.

Bet on Patchy Mix By Submission (+230)

Bautista vs Mix How to Watch

• Matchup: Mario Bautista (15-2-0), Patchy Mix (20-1-0)
• Date/Time: Saturday, June 7, 10:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Prudential Center, Newark, NJ
• Bautista vs Mix Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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