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Home » UFC & MMA Betting » UFC Picks » Blaydes vs Lewis Betting Preview

Blaydes vs Lewis Betting Preview

UFC Fight Night Prediction

Paolo Go
Feb 15, 2021, 7:37pm ET
in UFC Picks
Curtis Blaydes looks around in the cage Blaydes vs Lewis

Mike Stobe/Getty Images/AFP

Another UFC Fight Night brings another heavyweight clash with title shot implications. Curtis Blaydes tests his four-fight winning streak against Derrick Lewis, who has won three in a row. BetUS’s online sportsbook pegs Blaydes as a massive favorite. This should be a one-sided fight or this year’s biggest upset.

The UFC started the year with plenty of upsets although UFC 258 was a chalk party. Let’s review this Blaydes vs Lewis card’s online sports betting odds and see if we’re in for another shocker.

  • Date: Saturday, 7 p.m.
  • Venue: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV, USA
  • Watch on: ESPN+

Heavyweight: Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis

Blaydes (14-2-0 1 NC) and Lewis (24-7-0) meet in what could decide a title contender. The odds are incredibly steep here as Blaydes is favored to essentially steamroll Lewis.

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“Razor” Blaydes has been cutting through his competition and only Francis Ngannou has beaten him in the UFC. The former NJCAA national wrestling champion is as prolific as wrestlers come in the division. His 6.98 takedowns average per 15 minutes is staggering at a 55% clip.

Lewis, on the other hand, has shown vulnerability to wrestling. In fact, Lewis gets taken down in almost all of his fights including against non-wrestlers like Alexander Volkov. Daniel Cormier was making him flop all over the canvas before finally choking him out.

This is a fight between Blaydes who averages the most takedowns in the division and Lewis who gives up takedowns.

This should be a straightforward win for Blaydes. He’s also the faster of the fighters and will mix his takedowns with his striking. He’ll get Lewis to the mat repeatedly and throw vicious ground and pound to earn a victory.

Although there isn’t a lot of value with these odds, especially at heavyweight where literally one punch can change the entire outlook of the fight. Better to throw Blaydes in a parlay or find a prop for him to win by inside the distance at a better payout.

Blaydes vs Lewis Odds

You can bet these UFC odds from BetUS sportsbook’s UFC section along with props, totals, and others. The odds are currently:

  • Derrick Lewis +300
  • Curtis Blaydes -400

* odds are subject to change

Pick: Curtis Blaydes -400

Ketlein Vieira vs Yana Kunitskaya (Bantamweight)

Like the main event, Vieira (11-1-0) and Kunitskaya (13-5-0) could be fighting for a title shot here. Both ladies have only lost in the division once although they came via knockouts against Irene Aldana and Aspen Ladd, respectively.

This isn’t the most intriguing fight as neither Vieira nor Kunitskaya has a style that generates offense. In fact, both fighters would prefer to tie each other up and grind to a victory, not the most exciting to say the least.

In this sense, Vieira has a sizable advantage. She’s bigger and stronger than Kunitskaya and could even get her to the ground where she’ll control the fight. Kunitskaya is a capable striker, but she’s nowhere near as electric as Aldana so a knockout is unlikely here.

I strongly favor Vieira here based on the style matchup. But her odds are also becoming too pricey. Instead, betting her with Blaydes in a parlay could be ideal.

Odds For This Event

  • Yana Kunitskaya +210
  • Ketlen Vieira -270

* odds are subject to change

Pick: Ketlen Vieira -270

Andrei Arlovski vs Tom Aspinall (Heavyweight)

Former heavyweight champion Arlovski (30-19-0 2 NC) is still going strong at 42 years young. The “Pitbull” will once again look to burst another hype train in the form of English phenom Tom Aspinall (9-2-0).

Arlovski has been a money train as an underdog in his last few fights. He turned back Tanner Boser as a 3-1 dog and Philipe Lins at nearly 2-1. But both fighters are primarily strikers while Aspinall has an all-around game going for him.

The Englishman has some crisp striking and deadly jiu-jitsu. He’s finished all of his fights and his only two losses came via disqualification and a heel hook. The 27-year-old has a bright future ahead of him hence why the UFC is eager for him to pass the “Arlovski test.”

I am picking Aspinall to win this fight, but at these odds, I strongly lean on Arlovski. Both the oddsmakers and the public haven’t learned their lesson on the former champ. He may be a shell of who he was, but he’s durable and knows how to win fights by points. This is entirely a dog or pass situation.

Odds For This Event

  • Andrei Arlovski +200
  • Tom Aspinall -260

* odds are subject to change

Pick: Andrei Arlovski +200

Check out the BetUS reviews to see what online bettors have to say! 

BET ON THESE FIGHTS
Paolo Go

Paolo Go

As a long-time Toronto Raptors and Buffalo Bills fan, Go Paolo knows that every dog gets its day. Paolo fancies himself as an underdog in the sports betting world as he does not come from a traditional sports background. He did not become a hardcore sports fan until his freshman days in college studying Mass Media and Communications. While he played basketball and trained in martial arts, Paolo sees himself more as a nerd who cut his teeth in sports analysis by dropping truth bombs and stone-cold facts against crazed fans from online message boards. It was here he caught the attention of several sports journalists and website owners who gave him his start as a sportswriter. He has since published with the likes of Sportsnet and FanSided and has been writing about sports betting for over five years. Paolo is thrilled to continue covering sports and cannot wait to unearth more underdogs and unconventional winners.

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