Bruno Cappelozza is set to destroy Matheus Scheffel to move to 2-0 for the 2022 PFL season and stay undefeated in the promotion. The PFL MMA odds have Cappelozza upwards of a 7-2 favorite and it could be even shorter by fight time. An upset from Matheus Scheffel will go down as one of the biggest this year.
Cappelozza has been a wrecking ball since signing with PFL in 2021. In six fights, he’s finished five of his opponents in quick fashion – four of these came in one round. The Brazilian has been two levels above his opponents, and the only time he’s lost in the last six years is against Jiri Prochazka, the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion.
We left him out of our MMA rankings simply because he’s been fighting low-level opposition and Scheffel is a perfect example of that. He defeated Ante Delija to capture last season’s title, so props to him for that. But when else will Cappelozza fight a UFC-caliber opponent?
At any rate, the Brazilian has shown he can do it wherever the fight goes. It’s more of a question of when he finishes Scheffel. The online gambling lines have it as another quick one with the under 1½ rounds juiced.
Scheffel is not getting any favors this season. He fights Cappelozza right after Delija knocked him out. These two are arguably the two best in the promotion right now. With all due respect to the 29-year-old, all he has is a puncher’s chance in this bout.
He is also not much of a hard-hitter. He has one knockout win in the last four years and he mostly only beats “cans.” The combined winning percentage of the last five opponents he defeated is 58.1 percent (61-43-0). His last opponent was 22-21-0 and had not won a fight since 2018.
To Scheffel’s credit, he has a bit of a wrestling game and he can look to grind out Cappelozza. But we can’t, in good conscience, recommend betting online on Scheffel even if his line climbs higher than where it already is.
Cappelozza vs Scheffel Head-to-Head
While Cappelozza and Scheffel are the same height, Cappelozza has a two-inch reach advantage. The favorite is also a bit lighter although he appears to have more muscle mass. Cappelozza is four years older, though Scheffel has more professional bouts.
There are two ways to approach this fight from a betting perspective: Either bet the under 1½ or parlay Cappelozza with Anthony Pettis or another fighter/boxer this Friday. The 2021 PFL champ should make short work of Scheffel most likely by knocking him out on their feet.
Since this is a heavyweight bout, there is some danger in Scheffel “catching” Cappelozza and upsetting him. While this is unlikely, crazier upsets have happened in the past. This only adds to betting the under as Scheffler’s best chance is to finish Cappelozza before he himself gets finished.
As a long-time Toronto Raptors and Buffalo Bills fan, Go Paolo knows that every dog gets its day. Paolo fancies himself as an underdog in the sports betting world as he does not come from a traditional sports background. He did not become a hardcore sports fan until his freshman days in college studying Mass Media and Communications. While he played basketball and trained in martial arts, Paolo sees himself more as a nerd who cut his teeth in sports analysis by dropping truth bombs and stone-cold facts against crazed fans from online message boards. It was here he caught the attention of several sports journalists and website owners who gave him his start as a sportswriter. He has since published with the likes of Sportsnet and FanSided and has been writing about sports betting for over five years. Paolo is thrilled to continue covering sports and cannot wait to unearth more underdogs and unconventional winners.