Hometown Hero Heavily Favored
Ciryl Gane returns to his native France as the headliner for this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night. As such, the UFC betting odds have him as the largest favorite over Tai “Bam Bam” Tuivasa. At -600, Gane is the biggest favorite he’s been since 2019 while Tuivasa looks for another upset victory.
Gane Has Even More Weapons
By now the book is out on Gane: He is a fleet-footed heavyweight who can win fights with his fists, legs or submission skills. And coming off a loss against Francis Ngannou, in which he was outwrestled, we expect Gane to be even better as he sharpens that aspect of his game.
Gane has utilized wrestling in the past. But it’s clearly not refined as his stats would indicate — a 22 percent takedown efficiency. Most of Gane’s takedowns have been trips or throws. If he is to fully incorporate wrestling, he will need to learn to ground his opponents either by shooting for double-leg takedowns or by tying them up and dumping them.
Still, Gane has been successful for most of his UFC run without needing to do this. But against a power puncher in Tuivasa, Gane will need to find every way method he can to keep him from using his hands. Bet online that Gane will find a way.
Knockout or Bust For Bam Bam
Tuivasa enters France as the largest underdog he’s ever been in his career. The Australian is on a five-fight winning streak – all by knockout – but he hasn’t fought a fighter quite like Gane. The third-ranked heavyweight will earn himself a title shot if he can put Gane away, but that’s easier said than done.
Knocking out guys like Derrick Lewis and Augusto Sakai is one thing. These fighters have endured many KO losses in their career and are not nearly as mobile as Gane. If Tuivasa wants to deal that finishing blow to Gane, he will need to slow him down.
Tuivasa can utilize his powerful leg kicks to keep Gane from moving around. He can also work on Gane’s body should Gane attempt to tie him up. Aptly nicknamed “Bam Bam,” Tuivasa only needs a few punches to hurt a man. The key for him is to maximize his opportunities when he gets them.
Gane vs Tuivasa Head-to-Head
Even if the 6-foot-4 Gane is the taller and rangier (83-inch reach) fighter, Tuivasa will be heavier as he comes in at the heavyweight limit of 265 pounds. The eight-inch reach advantage for Gane is big here as he will use it to keep Tuivasa at bay.
Gane vs Tuivasa Fight Information
- Fighters: Ciryl Gane (10-1-0) vs Tai Tuivasa (15-3-0)
- Location: Accor Arena, Paris
- Day/Time: Saturday, Sept. 3, 3 p.m. ET
- Ciryl Gane vs Tai Tuivasa Live stream: UFC Fight Pass
Gane vs Tuivasa Betting Lines
Gane vs Tuivasa Prediction
Tuivasa is a live underdog here and a wager on him to win by a finish at +650 could be the best UFC bet this weekend. He certainly can do it but it may take him a while to get it done as Gane is difficult to hit. Opponents land just 2.27 significant strikes per minute against Gane at a 38 percent clip. Lewis landed just 16 in 14 minutes.
Gane will once again be moving around Tuivasa, who will try to leg-kick him to slow him down. If they start getting to Gane, he may elect to start tying up Tuivasa, which he can push him up against the fence and make him work. Either way, we don’t see this fight ending before the halfway mark. The sportsbook has over 2½ rounds total at -135. That’s a decent ask.