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Don’t Miss Out: Another UFC Parlay Recipe to Boost Your Bankroll

We absolutely tore the sportsbook apart at UFC 302 in Newark, New Jersey, last weekend, going 11-1 on outright picks and cashing multiple parlays. However, there is no rest for the wicked, and following a 13-year absence, the UFC returns to Louisville this Saturday, and I’m already cooking another two-legged parlay bet for my MMA enthusiasts to tail.


Don't Miss Out: Another UFC Parlay Recipe to Boost Your Bankroll
Thiago Moises | Thiago Ribeiro / AGIF / AGIF via AFP


UFC Louisville Event Information

  • Date & Time: Saturday, June. 8, 2024 – 05:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
  • Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
  • Scheduled Fights: 14
  • Main Event Bout: Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby


Thiago Moises vs L’udovit Klein: Somebody Will Sleep

Brazil’s Thiago Moises, aged just 29, is one of the UFC’s most experienced athletes under the age of 30, and despite losing five of the 12 bouts he’s competed in since his 2018 debut, look at some of the names on his resume: Islam Makhachev, Beneil Dariush, Bobby Green, and Benoit Saint-Denis to name a few.

We can’t be sure whether Moises has even reached his peak, but since his last fight that went the distance was in 2021, we do know that he’s left it all in the octagon since, win or lose, as six consecutive bouts have ended via KO/TKO or submission.

Saturday night in the Blue Grass State, Moises returns from a dominant TKO victory over Mitch Ramirez. Still, he’ll be opposed by a seasoned striker in L’udovit Klein, who, despite suffering setbacks of his own, boasts a 5-2-1 promotional record and could be coming into his own behind a five-fight unbeaten streak.




UFC Louisville Parlay Pick Leg 1: Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-110)

Approaching the UFC odds from an outright betting standpoint screams dog or pass in this situation. But I see some sneaky value in this fight ending before the judges can intervene.

Klein has gone the distance as a UFC competitor more often than not, but the upside for him this weekend will stem from an offensive striking advantage he’ll own. Moises has notably suffered two KO/TKO losses in two of his previous four bouts, and he might arrive at the KFC Yum! Center with some false confidence as a kickboxer after a recent TKO victory of his own.

Oppositely, Klein has been submitted by much lesser competition during his career, and he hasn’t faced a grappler like Moises, who owns a strong round game and BJJ ability. The Brazilian has been known to play around in his guard too much, but this could also result in a submission, or Klein’s heavy top game could provide a ground-and-pound stoppage.



  • Klein finished his most recent UFC bout via round one KO/TKO.
  • Moises hasn’t gone the distance in six consecutive UFC bouts.

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Punahele Soriano vs Miguel Baeza: KO or Choke Incoming

The fall from grace Punahele Soriano has experienced is rough. He began his UFC tenure with back-to-back round one KO/TKO wins but lost four of his next five bouts. Has he been too reliant on that KO-power which brought him to the dance? Or have we witnessed the opposite, where he hasn’t been headhunting enough?

Some would say Miguel Baeza is the perfect opponent for Soriano to get back on track. The MMA Master has been absent from the octagon since 2022, when he collected two straight losses by KO/TKO, thus putting his durability into question.

However, much like Soriano, Baeza displayed signs of promise early in his UFC career. Three straight wins inside the distance created the perfect highlight reel, and now we’re wondering whether the time spent away from the cage will produce a new and improved Baeza who can overcome his foe’s knockout potential.


UFC Louisville Parlay Pick Leg 2: Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-330)

When looking for the best UFC bets to complete our parlay, I don’t mind sipping some juice as our first leg provides most of the value. And there’s no better juice play, in my opinion, than by expecting Soriano and Baeza to avoid a result by decision.

Will the menacing, power-punching Soriano of old turn up and prove that Baeza’s chin is made of glass? Or can Baeza, with notably stronger cardio, escape the first round and put a beating on a fighter who’s renowned for gassing out after the first round?

I don’t have the answer to those aforementioned questions, but I do believe one of those scenarios will play out. We have two untrustworthy fighters, but we can rely on their finishing ability as collectively, they’ve gone the distance in just six of their combined 26 pro-MMA bouts to date.



  • Soriano’s three most recent UFC bouts ended in the first two rounds.
  • Soriano has gone the distance in just 3 of his 13 pro-MMA bouts.
  • Baeza’s three most recent UFC contests ended via KO/TKO or submission.
  • Baeza has gone the distance in just 1 of his 6 UFC bouts.


UFC Louisville 2-Leg Parlay



Question Of The Day

Who is the biggest underdog at UFC Louisville?

Jesse Butler, who takes on Brad Katona at UFC Louisville, is the event’s biggest betting underdog (+400) this weekend.

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