‘RDA’ and ‘Bam Bam’ To Scrap Despite Wide Odds
Rafael dos Anjos and Bryan Barberana are two of the UFC’s most entertaining fighters. In their lengthy tenures, the two combined for 13 post-fight bonuses with eight for Fight of the Night. So despite dos Anjos being heavily favored on the UFC betting odds, folks should expect a “banger” of a fight.
Let’s check the latest UFC odds, stats, and UFC lines for Dos Anjos vs Barberena. We’ve plenty of UFC 282 odds for you to consider.
Barberena Back as an Underdog
Barberena may have that “dog in him” but he has not won as an underdog in a while. The eight-year UFC veteran is 3-4 as an underdog and last won as one back in 2016. He actually started his UFC career as a consistent underdog, going 3-1 in his first four fights. Since then, he’s been outclassed by contenders like Colby Covington and the new champ, Leon Edwards.
But the 33-year-old is on a roll and has won three straight, with his last being a KO over former champion Robbie Lawler. Notable as a brawler, Barberena is actually adding wrinkles to his game. However, his Achilles heel remains the same: wrestling – or lack thereof.
Barberena only has a 55 percent takedown defense. In his last loss, Jason Witt took him down eight times. Even in his victories, he concedes takedowns. Matt Brown, a striker, took him down five times. His online gambling lines are unfavorable for a reason.
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Dos Anjos Has an Obvious Path to Victory
For Dos Anjos, he gets one of two options here. He can choose to thrill the fans by standing and trading with Barberena or he can exploit Bam Bam’s weakness. Bettors hope it’s the latter as dos Anjos can take down Barberena and submit him. We’re talking about a world Jiu-Jitsu champion with 10 career submission victories.
Even if dos Anjos has seemingly fallen in love with his kickboxing, he can still mix it up and beat up most unranked fighters in either lightweight or welterweight. A concern for dos Anjos will be his age and durability.
The former lightweight champion has been in many wars throughout his 14-year UFC career. He is 38 years old and is coming off a brutal knockout at the hands of Rafael Fiziev. Folks betting online cannot be comfortable if he stands with Barberena.
Dos Anjos vs Barberena Head-to-Head
Barberena is the bigger man in this fight. The American has a two-inch reach advantage and is taller by four inches. Both he and dos Anjos fight in the southpaw stance.
Dos Anjos vs Barberena Fight Information
- Fighters: Dos Anjos (31-14-0) vs Barberena (18-8-0)
- Location: Amway Center, Orlando, Fla.
- Day/Time: Sunday, Dec. 4, 12:10 a.m. ET
- Dos Anjos vs Barberena Live Stream:UFC Fight Pass
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Dos Anjos vs Barberena Betting Lines
Dos Anjos vs Barberena Picks & Prediction
This will be the type of fight that has both fans and bettors at the edge of their seats. Betting dos Anjos straight at -550 seems reckless and we can’t recommend siding with Barberena even at +375. Instead, the best UFC bet is to take a shot on this fight to go under 2½ rounds at +155.
At this current line, this is a tremendous value. While dos Anjos has the second-most decision victories in the UFC, he can submit Barberena when he gets him to the mat.
Rafael Dos Anjos is listed at -550 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Dos Anjos, you can win $18. Bryan Barberena is +375, offering a chance to win $375 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Dos Anjos an 84.62% chance to win, with Barberena at 21.05%. Bet on UFC Right Away!