Expert UFC Prop Picks: Odds, Prediction and Best Bets for UFC Tampa December 14
- Get the best UFC odds at BetUS.
- Joel Alvarez has a 100% finish rate. Can he continue his violent streak?
- Cub Swanson and Billy Quarantillo are renowned for bringing the heat.
- Find my best UFC prop bets ahead.
Another week of octagon action awaits, but as it’s the season for giving, I’m here to fill your stockings with the best UFC Tampa prop bets.
Colby Covington and Joaquin Buckley are expected to close out the UFC’s 2024 in style. Alongside this epic main event, we have another 12 elite-level fights to dissect and find the most valuable prop-betting wagers!
Continue reading to discover the best UFC prop picks for Saturday’s UFC Tampa card.
Fiiiiiiight weeeeek!
Covington vs Buckley is LIVE and FREE SATURDAY on ESPN2! #UFCTampa pic.twitter.com/tQiYYpTSKb
— danawhite (@danawhite) December 9, 2024
UFC Tampa Event Information
- Date/Time: Saturday, December. 14, 2024 – 07:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, Florida
- UFC Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
- Main Event Bout: Colby Covington vs Joaquin Buckley
- Co-Main Event Bout: Cub Swanson vs Billy Quarantillo
- Scheduled Fights: 13
- Biggest UFC Tampa Betting Favorite: Navajo Stirling @ -900
- Biggest UFC Tampa Betting Underdog: Tuco Tokkos @ +550
Make sure to check the latest UFC news before placing your bets!
Top 2 UFC Prop Bets for UFC Tampa Event
1. Drakkar Klose vs Joel Alvarez: No Russians, No Problem!
All the Spanish love goes to the featherweight champ Ilia Topuria, but let’s put some respect on the name of Joel ‘El Fenomeno’ Alvarez (21-3-0 record). If Russian fighters weren’t allowed on the UFC roster, I’m almost certain this Spanish finishing machine would be a champion or, at least, a top-five-ranked fighter.
Since Alvarez joined the UFC in 2019, he’s finished all his opponents by KO/TKO or submission that weren’t of Russian heritage. And yes, his three career losses were against Russians, and guess what? His UFC Tampa foe, Drakkar Klose (15-2-1), is American. So, you know what that means? El Fenomeno, for the dub!
Country handicapping aside, Alvarez is an absolute dawg! Because of this, he won’t be a UFC betting underdog this weekend, and rightfully so, as Klose will bring the fight, which will result in plenty of openings for the next big thing from Espanya!
Bet This Pick: Joel Alvarez by KO or Submission [-155]
Joel Alvarez turned that takedown into a guillotine REAL quick ⚡️ #UFCFightIsland2 pic.twitter.com/RVMw3ibZxh
— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) July 18, 2020
2. Finishing Machine
Klose loves to throw big bombs, and he’s no walk in the park. However, styles make fights, and as a slugger who isn’t afraid to go to war, this will heavily favor the stoppage-hungry Alvarez, who doesn’t just have a top-notch jiu-jitsu game but also a clean striking offense that offers much power.
With the UFC betting odds are slightly juiced, and that’s ok because Alvarez isn’t a point-fighter. We’re taking the Spaniard inside the distance, who’ll utilize his long frame and throw nasty elbows, knees, punches, and kicks to hurt the opposition! Better yet, grappling and/or scrambling situations will allow him to sink into a submission if all else fails.
Klose vs Alvarez Betting Trends:
- All 21 of Alvarez’s pro-MMA wins came by KO/TKO or submission
- Alvarez’s only UFC loss since 2019 was against the 155lb No.1 contender, Arman Tsarukyan
- Alvarez has finished UFC opponents in rounds 1, 2, and 3
The ending of Joel Alvarez’s most recent fight
He faces Drakkar Klose on Dec 14
pic.twitter.com/y2TUoIuR1r— Alexander Volkara France (@VolkaraFrance) December 11, 2024
Cub Swanson vs Billy Quarantillo: Violence Incoming
If you’re familiar with the work of Cub Swanson (29-14-0) and Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0), you’ll already know why their UFC Tampa battle was positioned as the co-main event. This bout has sleeper Fight of the Night written all over it, and it’s irrelevant who walks out victorious because the fans are going to win, either way!
Consistency has been an issue for both Swanson and Quarantillo recently, which is expected from a 40-year-old and 36-year-old. Nevertheless, in success or defeat, violence is almost a given, and with a combined 43 KO/TKO or submission wins/losses throughout their respective careers, I nearly spat my mulled wine on the Christmas tree when I saw the under sitting at +115 odds at BetUS Sportsbook.
Bet This Pick: Swanson vs Quarantillo Under 2 ½ Rounds [+115]
Ufc debut 5 years ago, best job I ever had. Next week co-main in Tampa- let’s eat!! pic.twitter.com/zzX7TlWKCb
— Billy Quarantillo (@BillyQMMA) December 8, 2024
Finish the Fight!
Boxing? Give me Swanson all day long. Crisp, smooth jabs from the outside and excellent power strikes in the pocket offensive striking are why Swanson has been a well-known name for over a decade, but aged 41, he’s a veteran who doesn’t have much remaining in the tank.
For Quarantillo, I envision him having more fluid movement and greater range control. This is where I believe the favorite can overwhelm the 40-something Cub and capitalize on a level of durability that’s not what it used to be. In contrast, Swanson’s experience, power, and boxing skills can flatline most featherweights.
The MMA betting odds are slightly in favor of Quarantillo, and with his ability to smother Swanson in grappling situations and hold his own standing, I’m not surprised. It’ll be too much pressure from Billy Q for Cub to handle, resulting in a stoppage or an accumulative damage-based situation from Cub’s boxing. Either way, we’re backing this fight to end before the judges intervene… Violence is incoming!
Swanson vs Quarantillo Betting Trends:
- Six of Quarantillo’s 10 UFC bouts ended inside the distance
- Quarantillo has won or lost inside the distance in 3 of his previous 4 UFC bouts
- 5 of Swanson’s previous 7 UFC bouts ended inside the distance
cub swanson is one of my favourites ever
look at this combo man
He was a warrior
— Thomas 🦡🔮 (@MmaHoneybadger) October 5, 2024
Our Favorite UFC Tampa Prop Bets
- Joel Alvarez by KO/TKO or Submission [-155]
- Swanson/Quarantillo Under 2 ½ Rounds [+115]
Bet on UFC Tampa Props at BetUS
Question of the Day
Who’s fighting in the UFC Tampa main event?
The welterweight division top rankings heat up when former interim champ and title contender Colby ‘Chaos’ Covington takes on a rising contender and dangerous foe, Joaquin ‘New Mansa’ Buckley.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
