We got an easy win the last time we stacked three chalk bets. We’ll go back to the well but focus on boxing and MMA this weekend, where there are some low-hanging fruit to pluck. These betting odds are getting steamed but still offer a bit of value if you’re willing to parlay four bets at slightly better than a 1:1 payout.
Three Wide Lines Ready to Be Parlayed
UFC Fight Night: Malkoun Grinds Down Brundage
And speaking of a wrestler who is all but a lock to win, Jacob Malkoun is ready to grind Cody Brundage down. Folks have picked up on how easy of a matchup this is for him and have bet him down to -590. He’s more than the odds-on UFC bet to win. Malkoun should be able to outwork him and maybe even finish him.
The Australian’s last loss came against Brendan Allen, a top-10 fighter while Brundage has been getting smoked by unranked fighters. Other than a puncher’s chance, Brundage is on his way to his fourth straight loss. Bet Malkoun confidently.
- UFC Pick: Jacob Malkoun (-590)
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell, Ige Two Tough SOBs
Continuing to the UFC, Bryce Mitchell and Dan Ige lock horns to stay relevant in the 145-pound title picture. Both have taken some tough losses but only against the cream of the crop. While the odds favor Mitchell here, Ige is a live dog. We’ll say “no thanks” to either of their lines, the over 2½ on the total is the best bet online.
Both Mitchell and Ige are durable like cast iron. Mitchell got subbed by Ilia Topuria, who could be next in line for a title shot. But other than that, he’s eaten shots just fine. And Ige, despite having five UFC losses, has never been finished. On top of that, bank on Mitchell to mix in a lot of wrestling here, as much of this fight will be spent grappling.
- UFC Pick: Mitchell-Ige Over 2½ (-240)
Boxing: McCaskill and Ryan Go Bullfighting for 10 Rounds
Jessica McCaskill and Sandy Ryan meet for the welterweight titles, and our online sports betting lines are tight. Ryan is much more skilled and bigger than McCaskill. But the unified champ has that bulldozing style that could score points simply based on the fact that she’s the one pushing the fight.
We don’t trust boxing judges. Nobody should, especially in women’s boxing that is most likely hitting the scorecards. As such, the best boxing parlay for Sept. 23 is for this one to go over 8½ rounds. It would be a shocker of epic proportions if this fight gets stopped before the ninth round.
- Boxing Pick: Ryan-McCaskill Over 8½ (-1000)
Bellator 299: Eblen Mauls Edwards to Retain Title
Moving on to Bellator, Johnny Eblen will defend his middleweight strap against Fabian Edwards. The latter is UFC welterweight champion Leon Edwards’s brother. So you can already see the narrative here: what if he pulls off a shocking upset, just like he did against Kamaru Usman? No cigar on this one.
Fabian, while a solid fighter, is not close to his brother’s level. In fact, his only notable wins have come against fading elites like Gegard Mousasi and Lyoto Machida. His losses also underlined his weakness: wrestling. That just happens to be what Eblen does in spades. We’d like a better line than -650, but it’s worth using for the best UFC parlay today.
- Bellator Pick: Johnny Eblen (-650)
— MMA Junkie (@MMAJunkie) September 22, 2023