Flyweight Title on the Line
Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno must be sick of fighting each other, but they’re the only fighters worthy of contending for the flyweight belt.
Figueiredo reclaimed his belt in 2022, but he’s the -105 underdog with UFC odds to keep it, despite fighting in Brazil.
Most of the support is for former champion Moreno, so the co-main event on Saturday promises to live up to the hype.
Let’s check the latest UFC odds, stats, and UFC lines for Figueiredo vs Moreno. We’ve got plenty of UFC betting odds for you to consider.
Home Hero Eyes Title Defense
Having the crowd behind you is an advantage, so Figueiredo is a surprise underdog to defend his belt.
The 35-year-old is past his best according to many, but that wasn’t the case when he won back his belt last year. It might have been a slightly controversial decision, but he has heart and the skill to keep winning in the UFC.
Bettors get value odds with UFC betting markets for Figueiredo, who wants to end the four-fight saga with a bang.
“Brandon Moreno and I don’t like each other. And when we step in the Octagon, we want to put on amazing show for the fans and everybody who likes to see Deiveson Figueiredo versus Brandon Moreno,” Figueiredo said.
“It’s a fight that’s stressing me out, it’s annoying. It’s my fourth fight with this guy. I’m definitely going there to end this once and for all.”
Our only concern is thathe hasn’t fought in just under a year. Moreno has been primed with a win over Kai Kara-France, so that could explain the odds.
Moreno a Repeat Champion?
Many believe Moreno is too good to be a one-time UFC champion and he gets his chance to prove them right in Brazil.
The 29-year-old Mexican has to do it the hard way, but his third-round knockout win over Kara-France showed his power and determination.
Being the interim champion won’t mean much to Moreno, who wants to get revenge on Figueiredo.
“Even before, I think our trilogy was awesome. I think the first three fights between us were the best ones in the division. Now this fourth one, it’s just adding more legacy and more juice to the history of our rivalry.”
The -125 favorite has momentum on his side but his odds are shorter than expected. We thought he would be around +110, so bettors will have to take a price without much value.
Figueiredo vs Moreno Head-to-Head
It’s the fourth meeting between Figueiredo and Moreno. The first meeting came in 2020, which ended in a majority draw, mostly due to Figueiredo being deducted a point for an illegal blow.
Moreno won the second fight with a submission before Figueiredo won back his title with a tight decision victory.
Figueiredo vs Moreno Fight Information
- Fighters: Figueiredo (21-2-1) vs Moreno (20-6-2)
- Location: Jeunesse Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Day/Time: Saturday, Jan 21, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Figueiredo vs Moreno Live stream: UFC Fight Pass
Figueiredo vs Moreno Betting Lines
Figueiredo vs Moreno Picks and Prediction
We think Figueiredo still has the goods to beat Moreno and we’re happy to take the -105 with betting online markets.
He gets the bonus of fighting in front of his home fans and that could be enough to get the job done.
Figueiredo is listed at -105 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Figueiredo, you have a chance to win $95. Moreno is -125, offering a chance to win $80 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Figueiredo a 51.22% chance to win, with Moreno at 55.56%.