Green vs Ruffy Prediction, Odds and Top Picks for March 06: Bet Nerd for Knockout at UFC 313

Prepare for a scintillating fistfight for as long as it lasts when King Green and Mauricio Ruffy start off the UFC 313 main card on Saturday night. The UFC odds favor the latter as he’s better equipped to win. We can’t count Green out but it’s not promising for the aging veteran. He is 38 and has fought in nearly 50 pro fights. He is shop-worn and Ruffy is ready to put him on the shelf.

Green vs Ruffy How To Watch

• Matchup: King Green (32-16-1), Mauricio Ruffy (11-1)
• Date/Time: Saturday, Mar. 8, 10:00 p.m. ET
• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
• Green vs Ruffy Live Stream: Pay-per-view

Stay updated! Check the latest UFC news here before placing your bets.

2 Best Prop and Round Betting Picks for Green vs Ruffy

1. Ruffy Outlasts Green, Lands KO

This one favors Ruffy just as the wide BetUS sportsbook lines indicate. Not only is he younger and less beat-up than Green, he’s also better. Ruffy trains at the hyped Fighting Nerds camp, the hottest gym in MMA. And unlike many who transferred over, he’s been one of the original fighters from there.

Ruffy is 2-0 in the UFC and won his Contender Series fight in flying colors, per UFC stats. He’s produced highlight reel finishes but can also win patiently and via decision. Against Green, we don’t expect Ruffy to charge in with a flying knee looking for a KO. He will meticulously break down his opponent and get a stoppage win naturally.

Green also loves to keep his hands low and still fights like he’s 25 and in his prime. That’s a bad strategy, especially this late in his career. Ruffy is what Green wishes he was and it will end tragically for the fan-favorite yet again.

A flawless victory for Mauricio Ruffy!

He gets the 1st round KO at#UFC301! 👏pic.twitter.com/ltw7ZatNFO

— UFC (@ufc)May 4, 2024

Betting on Ruffy to win via moneyline is pricey at -460. Instead, the best UFC bet is a KO victory at -135 odds. Green is far too hittable and reckless for Ruffy not to finish. Even if the Fighting Nerd takes his time, this is most likely ending this way.

Bet on Mauricio Ruffy to win by KO or TKO (-135)

2. Green vs Ruffy Does Not Go to Decision

We also can’t see this fight going to a decision. Even at -175, it’s worth betting online on this UFC prop to not go to a decision. Green is not only on his last legs as a fighter but could get violently finished again. Drew Dober and Jalin Turner destroyed him, as Paddy Pimblett pointed out.

“I do think it’s still affecting him because he got clipped with a few shots against Jim Miller, who is not a big puncher, and in the first round he looked a little bit (wobbly). He looked like Jim hurt him a little bit, I thought. Jim won the first round against Bobby,” Pimblett told MMA Junkie.

“So I think he’s a little bit chinny now. Not even the Jalin Turner one. He got knocked out clean by Drew Dober as well a couple of months before that. He’s been knocked out a few times, but that Jalin Turner one – your chin is never the same after something like that.”

TURNER FINISHES GREEN IN ROUND 1 👊 #UFCAUSTIN pic.twitter.com/YjeqI2GNSo

— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) December 3, 2023

On the flip side, Green can still crack. So if Ruffy is not careful, he could get hurt, as Grant Dawson found out in a stunning upset. That likely won’t be the case as Ruffy can also take a punch. But this UFC prop pick covers a finish from anyone. So we can double up on this after betting Ruffy to win by KO.

Bet on Fight to Go The Distance – No (-175)

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

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