There are some terrific undercard fights on the Lemos vs. Andrade card this Saturday in the UFC fight night evening.
Headlining the fixture is the co-main event between Clay Guida and Claudio Puelles, but we’re also looking forward to seeing what Alexandr Romanov can produce against Chase Sherman.
UFC odds are available for all undercard fights.
Guida vs Puelles
Most of the money has come for Clay Guida, who has moved into -120 from an opening -115 quote in the UFC fight card.
Claudio Puelles has youth on his side, but he hasn’t fought anyone with the experience of Guida, who has been around the block.
Guida has also fought much better of late, including two wins from his last three fights. The 40-year-old has the skills to handle Puelles and we’re happy with the -120 available, despite confidence coming from the Puelles camp during the week.
“This fight really motivates me. It’s been a long journey for me,” Puelles told UFC.com.
“I’m on my way up and this is next for me. It’s a fight that people are going to remember. That’s what I’ve been looking for, for a long time.”
Despite the confidence, we’re taking Guida to prevail.
Pick: Clay Guida -115
Barber vs De La Rosa
We expect a close fight between the women’s flyweights despite the market expecting Maycee Barber to win easily.
Barber and Montana De La Rosa have been inconsistent during their UFC careers, but Barber is the better fighter when she’s on her game.
The 23-year-old knocked out Gillian Robertson and JJ Alrich in consecutive fights in 2019, which put her on the map. Her career has flatlined since, but the ability is still there.
De La Rosa has the size advantage and comes off a second-round knockout win over Ariane Lipski, so the sportsbook is offering a generous price at +155.
No matter, given her top-end ability, we’re sticking with Barber. She is a stylish fighter and good enough to end the fight before the final bell.
Pick: Maycee Barber -190
Romanov vs Sherman
We haven’t seen a -2500 favorite in the UFC predictions for a long time, but that’s the hype surrounding undefeated fighter Alexandr Romanov.
He is 15-0 following a knockout win over Jared Vanderaa. He has finished three of his four UFC fights, including two by submission, so he’s well-rounded.
Chase Sherman was submitted in the first round against Jake Collier, which is a big concern against Romanov.
Betting online markets have Sherman at +900, which is a crazy price in a volatile sport, but we can’t bet against Romanov.
There is no value in taking the -2500, so take under 1½ rounds at -300 for better value.
Pick: Under 1½ rounds -300
Take a Look at the Other 2 Picks for UFC Fight Night
Vannata vs Jourdain
Bookmakers can’t split Lando Vannata and Charles Jourdain, but we think Jourdian represents value.
The 12-4-1 fighter won two of his three fights last year, including a knockout win over Marcelo Rojo and a decision win over Andre Ewell.
Vannata scored a decision win over Mike Grundy in 2021, which followed a loss to the experienced Bobby Green.
They match up evenly, but Jourdain has more explosive power and could land the better power shots.
We expect the fight to go the distance and Jourdain to win by decision.
