Vieira Decided Underdog
After dealing with a pair of injuries, former UFC women’s bantamweight champion Holly Holm returns. The 40-year-old is a decided favorite against Ketlen Vieira per the UFC odds. Holm hasn’t fought since late 2020 when she defeated Irene Aldana, who in turn knocked out Vieira. But, as they say “MMA Math does not work” so does Vieira have a shot at upsetting the ex-champ?
Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and UFC odds for Holm vs Vieira. We’ve plenty of predictions for you to consider.
Is Another Title Shot Waiting For Holm?
Despite having a losing record (4-5) since shocking the world against Ronda Rousey, Holly Holm has continued to find herself in the UFC’s good graces. The boxer-turned-MMA fighter has fought for a title on three different occasions and in two different divisions. All of them were losing causes, but she also fought the best in the world in the likes of Amanda Nunes and Cris Cyborg.
Holm has now won two in a row and a third straight victory could just land her in another title shot. Dealing with numerous setbacks in 2021, Holm is not ready to retire and feels she has plenty left in the tank.
Outside of Nunes, Holm could still be the best striker in the division. She stands a decent chance of recapturing her belt. As long as she can maintain a solid takedown defense, she will remain a top contender and worth a bet online.
Vieira Can Take Out Another Former Champion
While Holm was on the mend, Vieira added the biggest scalp of her career by turning back the fighter who dethroned the ex-champ: Miesha Tate. Vieira beat Tate despite everyone’s expectations and is now on the cusp of a title shot.
But Vieira will need to do more than just beat Holm. She will need to beat her convincingly as her fights have left much to be desired. Still, Vieira’s ability to mix it up may make Holm a bit more hesitant to throw, especially when Vieira is landing 1.7 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 46 percent rate.
The Brazilian will also have to keep Holm down, something she couldn’t do with Yana Kunitskaya. If Holm is able to get back up constantly, Vieira will find herself getting outstruck. But, if she can at least neutralize Holm, she should beat another former champion.
Holm vs Vieira Head-to-Head
In terms of the numbers, Holm has one of the best striking defenses. She absorbs just 2.8 significant strikes per minute with a 57 percent defense. Vieira, on the other hand, has absorbed over four significant strikes per minute. In fact, she’s been outstruck in seven of her eight UFC bouts, although she’s won five of them.
Holm vs Vieira Fight Information
- Fight: Holm (14-5-0) vs Vieira (12-2-0)
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
- Day/Time: Saturday, May 21st, 4 p.m. ET
- Holm vs Vieira Live stream: UFC Fight Pass
Holm vs Vieira Betting Lines
|Ketlen Vieira||+180||4½ -245 o|
|Holly Holm||-230||4½ +195 u|
Holm vs Vieira Prediction
At the current online UFC betting lines, a bet on Holm is worthwhile. She has fought the best in the UFC and Vieira will offer nothing new for her. Holm should be able to keep this fight standing, for the most part, and outstrike Vieira en route to a clear-cut decision.
Vieira’s best path to victory is to grind Holm down and to keep her from striking too much. Vieira will have a hard time doing so as Holm moves frequently and keeps herself at a distance, especially with a southpaw stance and a slight reach advantage. Betting Holm to win by decision at even money is also one of the best UFC bets for this fight.