Hooker vs Puelles Prediction, Fight Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks
Hooker Set To Bounce Back Against Surging Contender
Hooker Favored Slightly over Puelles
Dan Hooker and Claudio Puelles are a pair of lightweight contenders on different paths: Hooker has lost four of his last five while Puelles has won five straight. However, the UFC betting odds still favor Hooker as he is still the higher-ranked fighter with a tougher schedule. And at his current price, Hooker offers plenty of betting value.
Let’s check the latest UFC odds, and stats, for Hooker vs Puelles. We’ve plenty of UFC 282 odds and UFC fight night odds for you to consider.
Puelles Must Take His Shot
Puelles knows, as a UFC veteran, that he needs one big moment to announce his name to the world. It’s true that the Peruvian has five straight wins including a kneebar submission over longtimer Clay Guida. But a win over a ranked opponent, and one of Hooker’s name value, will push him to a new level.
But to do that, Puelles will need to pull out all the stops. The Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu player must go for a Hail Mary submission like an ankle pick or flying armbar or anything out of the left field. He can ill afford to stand and trade with the big New Zealander nor can he outwrestle him.
Instead of betting online on Puelles to win, bettors can find his submission prop at +185 or a first-round submission prop at +500. Either of these would go further than a straight bet.
Hooker Is Far From ‘Washed Up’
While Hooker has one win in his last five fights, he has plenty left in the tank. Consider that most of Hooker’s opponents have been champions and title challengers. Puelles is a step down in comparison. And in 19 UFC fights, Hooker has been submitted once and it came against the current champ while he was on short notice.
Hooker has the advantage almost everywhere this fight goes. He hits harder and is more prolific on the stand-up with 4.91 significant strikes landed per minute versus Puelles’s measly 1.99. Wrestling-wise, Hooker also has a 78% takedown defense. In 11 fights at 155 pounds, he’s only conceded three takedowns.
Beating Puelles is just what Hooker needs to get himself back in a marquee fight. The sportsbook expects him to.
Hooker vs Puelles Head-to-Head
As is usually the case, Hooker has the size advantage in this fight. The Kiwi is two inches taller with a 3.5-inch reach advantage. Puelles, however, is six years younger. Hooker can switch stances while Puelles fights southpaw.
Hooker vs Puelles Fight Information
- Fighters: Hooker (21-12-0) vs Puelles (12-2-0)
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 12th, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Hooker vs Puelles Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Stay tuned as we’ll be covering the most important UFC fight card and we’ll also be sharing our UFC predictions for the upcoming tournaments.
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Hooker vs Puelles Betting Lines
Hooker vs Puelles Picks & Prediction
Hooker has talked about “ego death” referring to how fighters feel vulnerable after losses. He’s lost his last two fights with a combined cage time of fewer than five minutes. That is not a detriment to Hooker but could make him a sharper albeit more cautious fighter, especially against a dangerous submission artist like Puelles.
The “Hangman” should be able to keep this fight standing and avoid any pesky submission attempts from Puelles. At some point, he could blast him with his trademark knee as he goes for an ill-advised takedown attempt. The best UFC bet here could be on Hooker to finish Puelles at 2-1.
Dan Hooker is listed at -145 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on him, you have a chance to win $69. Claudio Puelles is +115, offering a chance to win $115 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Hooker a 59.18% chance to win, with Puelles at 46.51%. Bet on UFC Right Away!
