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Japanese UFC Prodigy Returns! Perez vs. Taira Full Betting Breakdown

A quest to break into the top-10 flyweight rankings has looked effortless for the undefeated Japanese prospect Tatsuro Taira thus far, but as he’s now two rankings away from this position, how will he fare versus the elite in the UFC 125-pound weight class?

Our question will be answered this weekend as he faces a returning Alex Perez, who recently scored a knockout win over Matheus Nicolau less than two months back.

Japanese UFC Prodigy Returns! Perez vs. Taira Full Betting Breakdown
Tatsuro Taira (top) punches Edgar Chairez | Steve Marcus/Getty Images/AFP

With their respective fight camps complete and the MMA betting odds live, let’s dissect this weekend’s UFC Vegas 93 main event between Perez and Taira.

Perez vs  Taira Fight Information

  • Date/Time: Saturday, June. 15, 2024 – 07:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
  • How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass & ESPN+
  • Main Event Bout: Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Antonio Trocoli
  • Moneyline Probability: Taira – 64.9% (-185) Perez – 39.2% (+155)
  • UFC Vegas 93 Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass


Perez vs. Taira Betting Odds


Alex Perez: Experience or Prospect?

Following a twenty-month hiatus, Californian native Alex Perez returned to the octagon in 2024 and landed in the losing column versus a bidding prospect in Mokaev. However, on April 27, 2024, boy, did he fight off that ring rust in style. Closing as a +150 underdog at the sportsbook, Perez dispatched Nicolau with a vicious second-round knockout and, eager to make up for lost time, is stepping back into the cage just six weeks later.

Will Taira Remain Undefeated Against Perez?

Japan’s Taira is one of the brightest prospects fighting out of The Land of the Rising Sun and has impressively kept an undefeated pro record intact with five consecutive wins in the UFC since joining the promotion in 2020.

Initially tipped as a grappling-heavy opponent, he defied the consensus last time by knocking Carlos Hernandez’s head off his shoulders. This victory marked Taira’s fourth success by finish, and aged 24 he’s already blossomed into a potential title contender. The question is, how will they fare versus an opponent like Perez, who boasts elite-level experience?


Perez vs. Taira: The Tale of The Tape

Pro Record (Win/Loss)
6 KOs, 7 Submissions 
4 KOs, 7 Submissions
Win/Loss (Last 5)


Taira and Perez Fight Breakdown

Don’t underestimate the confidence of a man that owns fight-ending power that’s also returning from an impressive knockout win… That’s the exact position Perez is in this weekend, and considering the opponent, he’ll be faced with one of the least experienced fighters he’s fought in years.

With the likes of the current champion Alexandre Pantoja, the former flyweight king Deiveson Figueiredo, and one of the division’s fastest rising stars Muhammad Mokaev on his resume, Perez doesn’t just bring heavy hands to the cage but also a level of experience that Taira has never faced.

In contrast, despite Taira’s lackluster level of opposition, he’s displayed a fine fighting IQ to date, and even when mistakes have been made, he’s not once been in danger of suffering a knockout defeat.

Most of us expect Perez to win by knockout or lose, and whether or not he lands the kill shot will dictate his success. And they aren’t completely wrong; if Taira takes this to the ground, he possesses a heavy top game and slick jiu-jitsu skills to dominate such a position. However, Taira’s standing offense is severely overlooked, and while he may not opt to engage in a kickboxing battle for all five rounds, he has the size and striking capabilities to keep Perez at bay.


  • Perez has gone the distance in 14 of his pro career MMA bouts.
  • Perez will be Taira’s first top-15-ranked UFC opponent.
  • Taira went the distance with Edgar Chairez last year.


UFC Vegas 92 Main Event From a Betting Perspective

Do I like the current -185 UFC odds on Taira to win? No, not at all. Sure, he undoubtedly possesses the potential to make the weekend main event his breakout fight, but herein lies the problem: we have yet to see this breakout moment, and the competition he’s faced hasn’t been good enough to gauge a confident read.

I do, however, expect Taira to walk out victorious, as Perez’s ground game has suffered versus elite grapplers like Figgy and Mokaev in the past. But from a betting perspective, I do like these flyweights to at least have a competitive fight for three rounds, making the over the best UFC betting pick for this fight.

Similar to the Mokaev/Perez bout, I envision the grappling to dictate the majority of the fight, and in turn, the clock will be drained. I can envision a late stoppage by Taira, but not before he’s drained the gas tank of Perez, as I don’t quite believe his BJJ skills are round-one-stoppage worthy like Pantoja and Figueiredo’s were against the American.

My Best UFC Bet: 


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Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.


Questions Of The Day

Can Perez Defeat Taira by KO/TKO?

With knockout victories over top-ranked opponents such as Matheus Nicolau and Jussier Formiga, Perez is entirely capable of scoring another KO/TKO victory this weekend versus an unproven and rising contender in Taira.

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