Krylov vs Reyes UFC 314 Picks and Predictions: Bet ‘Devastator’ (+146) in Upset April 12

Dominick “The Devastator” Reyes is headed for a career renaissance. Once on a four-fight losing skid, we have him winning his third straight bout despite the UFC betting odds. Reyes is fighting Nikita Krylov, who has not fought in two years. Ring rust and momentum are real in mixed martial arts. So we have the former title challenger peaking as an underdog.

5 years ago, Jon Jones was taken to the brink of a loss by Dominick Reyes.

Reyes won the 1st round on all judges score cards.

Jones won the 4th and the 5th round on all judges score cards.

The 2nd and 3rd rounds were the disputed ones.pic.twitter.com/aATAzKSnDe

— MMA On Point (@OnPointMMA) February 8, 2025

Best 2 Prop and Round Betting Picks for Krylov vs Reyes

1. Reyes (+146) Scores the Upset

Even amid a four-fight skid, we did not count out Reyes. He’s been a sharp bet on UFC lines as he proved against Jon Jones as a +350 underdog. While he fell short, most believed he won the fight. And this was against the “GOAT” (Greatest of all Time). That is not what Krylov is, even if he’s had a fruitful UFC career (11-7-0).

Krylov is an all-around fighter but is not remarkable in anything. That’s what has kept him outside the title picture and why he’s consistently lost against opponents of top-five caliber. We believe Reyes still has this potential, especially if he keeps this fight standing.

DOMINICK REYES GETS IT DONE IN ROUND 1 🙌 #UFCLOUISVILLE pic.twitter.com/pkVGTtEBIp

— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) June 9, 2024

Reyes has a significant striking edge over Krylov. Five of his eight UFC victories have come via knockout, per UFC betting trends. He starched Dustin Jacoby, a kickboxer, and also finished former title challenger Anthony Smith. If Krylov is to beat Reyes, it will be on the ground. And we don’t see that happening, as no fighter has been able to keep him there. Not even Jones or Jan Blachowicz, two former champions.

Yes, we’re aware that Reyes’s jaw is fragile. But the fighters knocking him out are either powerful (Ryan Spann) or championship-caliber (Jiri Prochazka and Blachowicz). Krylov is neither. On top of that, five of his seven UFC losses were with him as the favorite. We can’t trust him with our money. Instead, Reyes is our UFC expert pick to pull off the upset.

Bet on Dominick Reyes (+146)

2. Reyes Wins Via Knockout (+400)

If you want a longer line on Reyes, find his knockout prop on the UFC fight odds at nearly 4/1. Reyes can also win this fight by decision (+400), especially as Krylov has not been finished by strikes in 12 years. But there is a first time for everything as Reyes hits hard and hits fast. Krylov may be shaking off the rust and can get caught unawares.

Reyes is still fast and explosive. His durability may be shot, but offensively, he’s still as dangerous as when he fought Jones. We also like a longshot bet on Reyes to win by knockout in Round 1 at +750. But a KO prop at +400 is solid enough to bet.

This is the perfect fight to open the main UFC 314 fight card. We expect Reyes to kick off the PPV with a spectacular early knockout. Bet on it.

Bet on Dominick Reyes by KO, TKO or DQ (+400)

Krylov vs Reyes How To Watch

• Fight: Nikita Krylov (30-9-0), Dominick Reyes (14-4-0)
• Date/Time: Saturday, April 12, 10:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
• Krylov vs Reyes Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass

Question Of The Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets