Spivak Still Favored in Re-Booked Fight
Let’s try this again, shall we? The UFC has re-booked Derrick Lewis to fight Sergey Spivak for the main event of this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night. The pair were supposed to fight last November but got scrapped on the night of the fight due to Lewis falling ill. Still, the UFC betting lines remain similar.
Tonight’s UFC Fight Night main event between Derrick Lewis and Sergey Spivac has been CANCELLED.
Derrick Lewis fell ill and is unable to compete. pic.twitter.com/aBfeBu83ji
— Covers (@Covers) November 19, 2022
Spivak Still Has Momentum
Interesting tidbit: this is the fifth time Sergey Spivak has had to be rescheduled to fight the same opponent since 2020. His bouts with Carlos Felipe, Jared Vanderaa, Tom Aspinall, and Greg Hardy all got canceled and had to be re-booked. He went 3-1 in these fights, with his only loss to Tom Aspinall.
Since that loss, Aspinall starched Augusto Sakai and Hardy via ground and pound. That is the Moldovan’s main strength: his ruthless wrestling. Aptly nicknamed “Polar Bear,” Spivak will look to quickly ground his opponents and maul them.
He lands a whopping 4.1 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 63% accuracy. The key for him is to keep his opponents on the mat. But at 6’3” and 260 pounds, he has enough mass to smother even the heaviest fighters. Hence, he’s a favorite on these online gambling lines.
More Time for Lewis To Get in Shape
It’s routine for Lewis to be an underdog. What isn’t usual for the “Black Beast” is to lose three fights in a row. In his 25 fights in the UFC, Lewis has rallied to snap two-fight losing skids. In fact, Lewis has only lost consecutive fights once since before he dropped these last two contests.
So even at 37 years old and entering his 13th year as a professional, Lewis should still be dangerous. The Black Beast is 7-5 as an underdog in the UFC, so no one should be underestimating him.
And yet Lewis feels like many are doubting him. That would be a mistake, as he is still the hardest-hitting fighter on the roster. He’s also just one of two men to have a win over former UFC champion Francis Ngannou. So even if Lewis is in the twilight of his career, he can still crack.
Lewis vs Spivak Head-to-Head
Both Lewis and Spivak are behemoths and stand at 6’3”. The reach advantage is just one inch for Lewis. They both strike in the orthodox stance. The biggest discrepancy here is in age: Lewis is 10 years older than Spivak.
Lewis vs Spivak Fight Information
- Fighters: Lewis (26-10-0) vs Spivak (15-3-0)
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Day/Time: Saturday, Feb. 4, 3:00 p.m. ET
- Lewis vs Spivak Live stream: UFC Fight Pass
Lewis vs Spivak Betting Lines
Lewis vs Spivak Picks and Prediction
Whether it will be Lewis knocking Spivak out or the latter wrestling him down, we can’t see this fight going past the 1½-round mark. At the current odds, that is likely the best UFC bet here. Alternatively, we can also bet online on the prop bet that this fight does not go the distance though it’s at a hefty -700.
Derrick Lewis are listed at -230 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Lewis, you have a chance to win $43. The Sergey Spivank are +180, offering a chance to win $180 on a $100 wager. The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Lewis a 69.70% chance to win, with Spivank at 35.71%.