UFC Odds Favor Spivak in a Short Fight
The UFC knows how to follow up a barn burner of a Pay-Per-View that was UFC 281. Put in the “Black Beast” Derrick Lewis in a heavyweight showdown against Sergey Spivak. The UFC betting lines may favor Spivak, the grappler, but everyone knows what Lewis brings to the table: thunderous knockout power. Whoever wins, will be short and brutal.
Spivak Ready for Marquee Win
Spivak enters with plenty of momentum having won his last two fights by TKO. The Moldovan is an elite grappler and four of his six UFC wins have come via ground-and-pound or a submission. While he has a win over Tai Tuivasa, he still needs that name that will get him one step closer to a title fight.
Lewis can be that guy for Spivak. The American is dangerous but is past his prime and potentially in the twilight of his career. Spivak’s path to victory is obvious: take Lewis down and finish him there. That’s easier said than done. Ask Curtis Blaydes.
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But Spivak, statistically, is one of the most prolific grapplers in the division. He lands over four takedowns per-15-minute average at a 63 percent accuracy. He’s landed nine of his 12 attempts in his last two fights. If he can keep it up, a moderate bet online on him is well worth it.
Is This The End of the “Black Beast”?
The UFC will not be the same when Lewis hangs up the gloves. Whether it’s his funny soundbites or his record-setting knockouts, Lewis is must-see TV. However, having lost three of his last four fights by knockout, the end might be nigh for the Black Beast.
But even in his current “washed up” state, we won’t be so quick to fade him on the online gambling lines. Lewis has frequently been an underdog in the UFC and is 7-5 as one. That’s mostly thanks to his massive hands, which can end a fight with one punch.
Going against a grappler like Spivak, Lewis is familiar with being taken down. He is 5-2 against fighters with a base in grappling and one of these losses came against Daniel Cormier. Lewis’s MMA career may be coming to a close, but he could still go out with a bang.
Lewis vs Spivak Head-to-Head
Lewis and Spivak are, to quote Mike Goldberg, “virtually identical” in physical stats. Both are 6-foot-3 and Lewis has a one-inch reach advantage. Spivak is 10 years younger than Lewis while the latter also has double the fighting experience.
Lewis vs Spivak Fight Information
- Fighters: Lewis (26-10-0) vs Spivak (15-3-0)
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 19, 6:40 p.m. ET
- Lewis vs Spivak Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
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Lewis vs Spivak Betting Lines
The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.
Lewis vs Spivak Picks & Prediction
The conventional pick here is for Spivak to get Lewis to the mat and finish him. Lewis has looked old and slow in his recent fights and Spivak, the younger and fresher fighter, should pick him off.
However, the best UFC bet here is for the fight to end early at under 1½ rounds. Either Lewis catches Spivak and knocks him out or Spivak molly-wops Lewis with his superior grappling.
Sergey Spivak is listed at -200 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on him, you have a chance to win $50. Derrick Lewis is +160, offering a chance to win $160 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Spivak a 66.67% chance to win, with Lewis at 38.46%.