It might not be the biggest card in the UFC’s history but bettors are looking forward to another quality Fight Night card.
The sportsbook has generous odds available and we include four of the best fights in our UFC parlay, including the co-main event between Vicente Luque and Geoff Neal.
Luque vs Neal
We think UFC odds have the co-main event priced correctly with Luque at -190 to win. The 30-year-old showed good skills when losing to Belal Muhammad and it was a good learning experience.
He looked terrific when submitting Michael Chiesa and Tyron Woodley in 2021, so anything close to that is good enough to beat Neal, who scored a decision victory over Santiago Ponzinibbio at UFC 269.
Neal is talented enough to beat Luque, but if the fight gets to the ground, that’s where Luque could take over. He’s dangerous with his submission attempts and Neal could struggle to keep the fight standing.
“The focus right now is beating Geoff,” Luque told Yahoo. “He’s the man. He’s the guy I’ve got to go past to move back into that title conversation, which I was (in) and I can get back to. I see I’m closer to the title fight than I’ve ever been, even with a setback. It didn’t set me that back”.
“A win over Geoff can put me back into the mix. That’s the focus right now, get back into that mix, and get a big win. It’s got to be a big one against Geoff. Then, we can think about what’s next.”
Luque’s current odds are juicy enough to include in parlays.
Pick: Vicente Luque -190
Sakai vs Spivak
There has been strong betting online support for Sergey Spivak and with good reason.
The hard-hitting Moldovan knocked Greg Hardy without too much fuss at UFC 272 and he could march his way up the heavyweight rankings.
He hasn’t always shown the consistency needed to contest for the title shot but we think he’s a great bet to end the fight early against Augusto Sakai.
Bookmakers have Spivak at -270 to win the fight outfight, which is fine to include in parlays. However, we’re including Spivak to win by knockout at -125. It’s a better price and we can’t see this contest going the distance.
Sakai is a talented fighter on his day but Spivak has more progression in this division and he shouldn’t disappoint bettors.
Pick: Sergey Spivak by KO -125
McKinney vs Gonzalez
Terrance McKinney has been the best-backed fighter on the UFC Fight Night card. The American is -1000 to win outright, so bettors look to exotics for more value.
He is expected to end the fight in the first round against Erick Gonzalez, which pays -200. We’re not prepared to take that risk as Gonzalez is good enough to last five minutes. However, we’re picking the favorite to end the fight early.
Bettors get -550 for the fight not to go the distance, which is better than -1000 for McKinney straight-up. Those odds are worth including in our UFC parlay and it boosts potential payouts handsomely.
Pick: Fight not to go the distance -550
Witt vs Quinlan
The road to the UFC hasn’t been easy for Hawaii’s Josh Quinlan, who won a spot in the UFC via Dana White’s Contender Series before testing positive for a banned substance.
Looking to right his wrongs, Quinlan earned a spot on the UFC Preliminary card on Saturday and the undefeated fighter looks the goods.
He’s a talented fighter and he’s keen to set a better example.
“I just want to be an example not just for my victories, not just an example of victories and people seeing that but an example of someone being honest or someone that takes responsibility for their actions,” Quinlan said.
Witt should be an easy opponent first-up in the UFC and we like the -235 odds for the favorite.
Pick: Josh Quinlan -235