Former Champion Tops Betting
Jessica Andrade, a former UFC strawweight champion, headlines UFC betting markets against Lauren Murphy at UFC 283.
Murphy, who is 39 years old, comes off a win over Meisha Tate, so she earned her spot on the main card in Brazil.
Time for Murphy to Shine
Murphy is running out of chances to contend for a title, so she must be Andrade to have any chance.
She scored five consecutive wins before losing to Valentina Shevchenko in a title fight and now she believes a new team is needed to get another shot.
“I have a team now that looks after my health,” Murphy said. “I have a really good nutritionist and endocrinologist who helped me recover from some serious health issues I had, and she’s been a huge part of my success. You can’t have coaches around you that are just trying to be your friend, trying to be your dad or something like that.”
The sportsbook has Murphy at +350 to win, so she’s not being respected with bookmakers. However, if she comes with the same form that saw her beat Tate, she could cause an upset.
Andrade also lost to Shevchenko, so they’re in similar territory, and Murphy is a well-rounded fighter. However, she’s not getting any younger and fighting in Brazil against a Brazilian is about as tough as it gets.
Andrade Returns Home
The 31-year-old rebounded from a loss with two devastating wins, so that’s why she’s the -475 favorite with UFC odds.
Andrade lost in 2021 to Shevchenko before knocking out Cynthia Calvillo and submitting Amanda Lemos.
That kind of form should scare Murphy, who doesn’t have the same finishing power. Andrade also has the experience of being a former UFC champion.
All things being equal, Andrade has the clear edge. She is not only the younger fighter, she’s also better – and fighting in front of a home crowd is an added bonus.
She is confident of a big showing and believes she’s faster in the flyweight class.
“I’m very strong and fast at this weight class, and I think I have good knockout power for the division, as well,” Andrade said.
“At strawweight, pretty much everybody is around my height or only a little taller, so I guess that is where my frame fits the best.”
She is +120 to end the fight before the final bell, which could be worth entertaining.
Murphy vs Andrade Head-to-Head
This will be the first meeting between Murphy and Andrade.
Murphy vs Andrade Fight Information
- Fight: Murphy (16-5) vs. Andrade (23-9)
- Location: Jeunesse Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Day/Time: Saturday, Jan 21, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Murphy vs Andrade Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Murphy vs Andrade Betting Lines
Murphy vs Andrade Picks & Prediction
Andrade should have the class edge and the -475 is worth including in UFC parlays. However, we’re happy to take Andrade at +120 to win by knockout, TKO or submission.
She has the class edge and she’ll be looking to end the fight in dramatic fashion in front of the adoring Brazilian crowd.
Andrade is listed at -471 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Andrade, you have a chance to win $21. Murphy is +350, offering a chance to win $350 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Andrade an 82.61% chance to win, with Murphy at 22.22%.