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Home » UFC & MMA Betting » UFC Picks » Ponzinibbio vs Morono Prediction, Fight Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Ponzinibbio vs Morono Prediction, Fight Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

Last-Minute Catchweight Bout Could Go the Distance

Paolo Go by Paolo Go
Dec 8, 2022, 11:25am ET
in UFC Picks
Alex Morono celebrates after defeating Matthew Semelsberger in their welterweight bout

Alex Morono - Carmen Mandato / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via AFP

Ponzinibbio Favored in a Brand New Matchup

It’s not a UFC event unless there is a last-minute switch-up happening. With Robbie Lawler falling out, Santiago Ponzinibbio takes on Alex Morono in a catchweight (180 pounds) bout. The UFC betting lines favor Ponzinibbio though he takes on a fighter on a four-fight winning streak. But instead of picking a side, the totals could be the best UFC bet here.

Let’s check the latest UFC fight card, stats, and UFC predictions for Ponzinibbio vs Morono. We’ve plenty of UFC fight night odds for you to consider.

Alex Morono will step in for the injured Robbie Lawler and fight Santiago Ponzinibbio on just 5 days’ notice.#UFC282 | Full story: https://t.co/SLK7y6st3v pic.twitter.com/wFRAoFaNQr

— MMA Junkie (@MMAJunkie) December 6, 2022

Morono Is One Tough Customer

Entering his 16th UFC bout, Morono has been one of the promotion’s most dependable fighters. This man has never pulled out of a UFC bout and fights at least twice a year. The sturdy Texan has also come through as an underdog for folks betting online. Morono has won six of his eight UFC bouts as a dog.

The welterweight is not the most skilled fighter but he is incredibly durable. He’s only been finished once in his last 13 bouts and has fought some potent KO artists like Matthew Semelsberger and Kenan Song.

Morono is primarily a striker and one that has improved on his defense. Overall, he stands at a 57% significant strike defense. But in recent bouts, he’s made fighters miss. Semelsberger landed just 32% of his 229 significant strike attempts. Mickey Gall landed 45% of 144. Combined with his solid chin, Morono will see to the fight going the distance.

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Ponzinibbio Can’t Afford Another “L”

It says a lot about how desperate Ponzinibbio must be if he’s willing to take a five-day notice fight against a more difficult opponent. The former top-five fighter has won one of his four fights since returning from his two-year layoff. But this could be a bad case of “deja vu” for him and his camp.

When Ponzinibbio returned, he also has his original bout swapped: Li Jingliang stepped in for Muslim Salikhov. The result was a stunning upset as Li knocked Ponzinibbio out in the first round. It was the fifth-biggest upset of 2021.

But at 36, Ponzinibbio has no room for error if he is to remain a contender. He not only needs a win to stay relevant but against an unranked fighter like Morono. This is a high-risk low-reward proposition for the “Argentine Dagger”. But as they say, beggars can’t be choosers.

Ponzinibbio vs Morono Head-to-Head

Ponzinibbio will be the slightly larger fighter in this bout. He sports a one-inch advantage in height and reach. Both strike with the orthodox stance. Morono is four years younger. They have had about the same number of fights in the UFC.

Ponzinibbio vs Morono Fight Information

  • Fighters: Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) vs Morono (22-7-0, 1 NC)
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
  • Day/Time: Saturday, Dec. 10, 10 p.m. ET
  • Ponzinibbio vs Morono Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass

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Ponzinibbio vs Morono Betting Lines

Betting Odds Calculator

Ponzinibbio vs Morono Picks & Prediction

This is such a dangerous fight for both Ponzinibbio and his backers. Against Lawler, Ponzinibbio was facing a fighter on his last legs. Alas, Lawler got hurt and now Ponzinibbio faces the younger and tougher Morono. At the current odds, this is a “dog or pass” situation for Morono. Bet him straight and also bet the over 2½ rounds. Both are worth their price at the sportsbook.

Santiago Ponzinibbio is listed at -180 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Ponzinibbio, you can win $56. Alex Morono is +150, offering a chance to win $150 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Ponzinibbio a 64.29% chance to win, with Morono at 40.00%.

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Tags: Alex MoronoSantiago PonzinibbioUFCUFC 282
Paolo Go

Paolo Go

As a long-time Toronto Raptors and Buffalo Bills fan, Go Paolo knows that every dog gets its day. Paolo fancies himself as an underdog in the sports betting world as he does not come from a traditional sports background. He did not become a hardcore sports fan until his freshman days in college studying Mass Media and Communications. While he played basketball and trained in martial arts, Paolo sees himself more as a nerd who cut his teeth in sports analysis by dropping truth bombs and stone-cold facts against crazed fans from online message boards. It was here he caught the attention of several sports journalists and website owners who gave him his start as a sportswriter. He has since published with the likes of Sportsnet and FanSided and has been writing about sports betting for over five years. Paolo is thrilled to continue covering sports and cannot wait to unearth more underdogs and unconventional winners.

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