The main event between Calvin Katter and Josh Emmett is set to excite but we look at the five fights on the rest of the main card.
Donald Cerrone vs. Joe Lauzon pits lightweight legends in what is their swansong. UFC fight odds have Cerrone favored to win but it’s up for grabs.
Cerrone vs Lauzon
With a combined age of 77, there isn’t a lack of experience in the Cerrone vs Lauzon fight on Saturday.
Cowboy Cerrone hasn’t fought since losing to Alex Morono last year and it came by a devastating first-round knockout. Coming back from such a tough defeat isn’t easy but Cerrone is a classy fighter. He’s eyeing 50 fights before he retires and he’s one step closer to his goal.
“This is (48), so two more after this one (and I can retire),” Cerrone told MMA Junkie. “Fifty is an incredible number. Hopefully, no one will touch it so I can bow out.”
When I walk out there Saturday, I’m setting records again. The only thing cooler than setting records is breaking your own. It’s a cool feeling. (I’m just) setting so many that the young kids have got a hell of a job to try to catch me.”
His most recent win might have come in 2019 against Al Iaquinta, but he has faced the best in the business since, including Conor McGregor and Tony Ferguson. Therefore, we like his chances of beating Lauzon.
Lauzon hasn’t fought since 2019, so his lack of Octagon time counts against him. We can’t bet on a guy coming off a three-year hiatus.
Take Cerrone at -160 with the sportsbook to win the co-main.
Pick: Cerrone -160
Means vs Holland
Kevin Holland is a dominant -300 favorite to beat Tim Means by any means necessary.
The 22-7 fighter looked the goods when knocking out Alex Oliveira in the second round at UFC 272, so his recent record checks out.
It was a good bounce back following losses to Derek Brunson and Marvin Vettori, but we don’t put Means in the same category.
Take nothing away from the veteran of 45 fights, but the 38-year-old is past his best and he’ll do well to escape with a decision loss. Means hasn’t been facing top-level fighters and the +220 betting online underdog could be in for a rude awakening.
Pick: Holland -300
Buckley vs Duraev
Joaquin Buckley is a devastating knockout artist on his day but he also leaves himself vulnerable.
The 28-year-old Missouri native started his UFC career with a knockout loss to Kevin Holland before knocking out consecutive opponents in style, including Jordan Wright.
It isn’t much wrong with his form but the +190 underdog isn’t expected to beat Albert Duraev, who scored a decision win over Roman Kopylov at UFC 267.
The worry with Buckley is that he’ll be grappled and unable to get clear space for a knockout. However, we’re not prepared to take Duraev at -240.
The value is with Buckley and he could boost UFC betting payouts.
Pick: Buckley +190
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Ismagulov vs Kutateladze
Damir Ismagulov has only one loss on his record and he’s the -170 with good reason.
The 23-1 lightweight is unbeaten in four UFC fights, and although the wins came by decision, he’s tough to beat.
He grinds his opponents down and doesn’t give them much of a look-in, so Guram Kutateladze needs to find a way to win.
The +140 underdog is a handy fighter in his own right with a 12-2 record. However, it’s his UFC debut and he hasn’t been given an easy opponent first-up.
There could be too much class with Ismagulov and we’re not prepared to bet against the Russian, so take the -170 in what might not be an exciting fight on the main card.
Pick: Ismagulov -170
Marquez vs Rodrigues
Bettors have another short-priced favorite with Gregory Rodrigues, who is currently paying -180 to beat Julian Marquez.
The 30-year-old was beaten by Armen Petrosyan in February but he looked much better prior to that when knocking out Jun-Yong Park and Dusko Todorovic.
Marquez has been in the UFC since 2017 and he defeated Sam Alvey in his most recent fight. He has enough firepower to worry Rodrigues, but the favorite could land the telling blow and score a knockout victory.
Pick: Rodrigues -180