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Santos vs Hill Predictions, Fight Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks

UFC Betting Lines Heavily Side With Hill

Jamahal Hill is ready to put his name on the short list of title contenders at 205 pounds. The American is heavily expected to dust former title challenger Thiago Santos per the UFC betting odds on Saturday. Hill, nicknamed “Sweet Dreams,” has won four UFC fights and they have all come via knockout. While Santos, aka “Marreta” is a grizzled veteran, he is but a stepping stone for Hill.

Let’s check the latest UFC news, stats, injury reports, and UFC odds for Santos vs Hill. We’ve plenty of UFC picks and predictions for you to consider.

Santos vs Hill Predictions, Fight Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks
Thiago Santos vs. Jamahal Hill

Does Santos Have Anything Left?

Once upon a time, Santos was one of the most feared strikers across two divisions. This is a man who nearly beat Jon Jones with just one knee. He also knocked out former champion Jan Blachowicz and has tied for the most knockouts in the middleweight division. But this is all in the past.

Santos is mostly dangerous by reputation now. He’s lost four of his last five bouts with that one win coming against a frail Johnny Walker, who he couldn’t even finish. His brutal knee injury may have all but sapped his explosiveness, especially as a Muay Thai fighter that relies on kicks.

Without his burst, Santos is handicapped as a fighter as he’ll also be slower. He’s accumulated plenty of damage over his 10-year UFC career and just turned 38 years old. His online gambling line looks enticing but it’s that long for a reason.

Hill Must Make a Statement

The light heavyweight division is filled with hard-hitting contenders and Hill could be the best of them. We predicted he’d win the title by August next year and he’s just one or two big wins away from a title shot. Hill has that rare one-punch KO power that can, not only make him a champion but turn him into the UFC’s next star.

Of course, there are a few fighters ahead of him like Blachowicz, Magomed Ankalaev, and maybe Aleksander Rakic. But none, except maybe Blachowicz, have that dynamite in their fists.

What makes Hill dangerous is how easily he makes the striking look. He’s landing over seven significant strikes per minute at a 51% clip. Hill will continually pressure his opponents until they make a mistake, which he’ll capitalize with a clean shot to the head. This could be Santos’s fate this Saturday.

Santos vs Hill Head-to-Head

Hill has plenty of physical advantages over Santos. He is taller by two inches, has a three-inch reach advantage, and is younger by seven years. The Michigan-based fighter has also not absorbed as much damage as Santos.

Santos vs Hill Fight Information

  • Fight: Santos (22-10-0) vs Hill (10-2-0)
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas
  • Day/Time: Saturday, 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Broadcast: UFC Fight Pass

Santos vs Hill Betting Lines

Fighter Handicap Moneyline Total Team Total
Thiago Santos +220 2½+140o
Jamahal Hill -300 2½-170u

Santos vs Hill Prediction

This is a “favorite or pass” situation as we cannot recommend betting online on Santos here. Hill should be the faster and fresher fighter of the two. While Hill will fight Santos where he’s strong, Santos is not an invincible fighter. He has been knocked out by middleweights in Gegard Mousasi and David Branch. Hill hits much harder than both of them.

If Hill’s line is too short for your taste, parlay him with another fighter or boxer this weekend. Or, bet him to win by knockout at -150. This may be the best UFC bet as we can’t imagine Santos going 25 minutes without getting caught clean by Hill.

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