We often hear that“MMA is unpredictable” and it’s why we love it. And yet, whenever we hit the UFC betting lines, we try to snag the locks and the props we believe are going to hit — from a logical perspective. Well, throw that out of the window because we are going the other way here. Maybe we’re crazy, but if we’re not, these four prop bets for UFC Fight Night could prove fruitful.
Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and UFC odds. We’ve plenty of predictions for you to consider.
- Date: Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
- Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
UFC Fight Night Props
Taira Makes Short Work of Candelario
Tatsuro Taira is a rare Japanese prospect that fights in the UFC these days. Usually, we’d fade Japanese fighters as they tend to underperform on the online sports betting lines. But Taira (10-0-0) has the added advantage of having this fight delayed a few weeks, thus allowing him to get used to the culture shock and the way of the UFC.
Carlos Candelario is a decent fighter, but he has nothing to offer that Taira hasn’t seen. Candelario (8-1-0) is not even UFC-caliber and should get tapped when Taira gets his back, which he should do within the first two rounds. Bet online on either the first (+225) or second (+500).
Pick: Taira To Win In Round 1 (+225)
Camacho to Upset Newcomer Torres
In what is a difficult fight to cap, we’re leaning on Frank “The Crank” Camacho to get it done against newcomer Manuel Torres. This is a bold take even with the slight odds as Camacho (22-9-0) was demolished in his last two fights and is 2-4 in the UFC.
But the 32-year-old has taken time off, reinvented himself, and looks to be in the best shape of his life. Additionally, he has a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. He has a path to victory here when he mixes it up against the unproven Torres (12-2-0). At over 2-1, we’ll take a shot that the “new and improved” Camacho gets his biggest UFC win.
Pick: Camacho To Win By KO, TKO, DQ or Submission +220
Cutelaba to Show New Style Against Spann
Speaking of debuting a new look, bank on Ion Cutelaba to be a different kind of fighter against Ryan Spann. Cutelaba (16-6-1) is usually a fast starter. He will blitz his opponents and finish them or die trying. However, since moving to a new team in Vegas, he has appeared calmer and more technical in his approach.
There is a good chance that Cutelaba, instead of rushing the dangerous Spann (19-7-0), will instead mix it up. While only one of Spann’s eight UFC fights has gone the distance, Cutelaba’s wrestling-heavy style could mean that a decision is more likely than the lofty odds it’s given. Thus, it has the potential to be one of the best UFC bets on this card.
Pick: Cutelaba To Win By Decision or Tec. Decision +700
Rakic to Take Blachowicz Out Late
We hate to call Jan Blachowicz “damaged goods” but he sort of is. Nearing 40, the former light heavyweight champion has taken a lot of damage over his 15-year-career. On top of that, he was involved in a harrowing accident that postponed this fight from March to Saturday. Aleksandar Rakic, on the other hand, is younger and hungrier.
— MMA Junkie (@MMAJunkie) May 13, 2022
Rakic (14-2-0) is not much of a finisher. In fact, his last three fights have gone the distance. As a technical fighter, Rakic will prefer to outstrike Blachowicz (28-9-0) but at a cautious rate. Blachowicz still wields his famous “Polish Power” and can take Rakic out if the Serb makes an egregious error. However, 25 minutes is a lot of time and Rakic should be able to wear Blachowicz out and finish him before the final horn.