Our UFC 273 props cashed on two big props and Saturday’s UFC Fight Night has a good chance to follow it up. The UFC odds present plenty of opportunities to hit on props based on fights being finished – or not finished in the case of our co-main event.
- Date: Saturday, April 16th, 5:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: UFC Apex
- Streaming: UFC Fight Pass
UFC Fight Night Props
Buday Tames Beast Boy
Our hearts are with the “Beast Boy” Chris Barnett. But this matchup stinks. Martin Buday is significantly larger and has a penchant for using his size to grind his opponents down. Barnett (22-7-0) is giving up a lot of size here. Buday (9-1-0) will push him up against the fence and wear him down where he should finish him eventually.
There is some value in taking Barnett to finish Buday at +240. But even if he lands a wheel kick or a rolling thunder, Buday may just survive it. Barnett, on the other hand, was finished in his last four losses.
Pick: M Buday To Win By KO, TKO, DQ, or Submission -150
Knight Ready To Smash Clark
In this unofficial cruiserweight fight, William Knight is in his element. The bulky light heavyweight does not need to cut weight, which will benefit him greatly. Devin Clark is a tough customer and has only been knocked out twice. But Knight (11-3-0) hits like a truck and being able to focus wholly on training and not dieting should do wonders.
— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) August 14, 2019
There is a solid UFC betting odd on Knight to starch Clark (11-2-1) quickly here – within the first two rounds. In fact, a bet on Knight to knock Clark out in the first round pays at +750 and could be the best UFC betting. But grabbing the +350 line on him to do it any time is still worth the juice.
Pick: W Knight To Win by KO, TKO or DQ +350
Fialho Starches Baeza In Stunning Fashion
In what could be the “Fight of the Night” we’re backing the underdog, Andre Fialho to outlast Miguel Baeza. Fialho (14-4-0) acquitted himself well against Michel Pereira in his UFC debut. Baeza (10-2-0) is a talented prospect but is a step down from the Brazilian.
While Baeza is the quicker and more polished striker here, Fialho is more durable and hits just as hard. Baeza is too hittable and does not have the best chin, which has already been weakened by the likes of Matt Brown and Khaos Williams. Fialho has 15 minutes to land a good shot that will put Baeza down. Over 3-1 on the sportsbook is too good to pass up.
Pick: A Fialho To Win By KO, TKO or DQ +315
Omargadzhiev and Borralho Grapple For 15
We will stereotype Gadzhi Omargadzhiev as another prolific grappler from the Dagestan region. He’s unbeaten and looks every bit like a high-end prospect. He takes on a fellow blue-chipper in Caio Borralho, who is a deadly grappler and serious striker. But Borralho (10-1-0) is nowhere near the grappler Omargadzhiev (13-0-0) is.
Both fighters are durable and versed enough on the mat to keep themselves from getting finished. In what should be a grappling-heavy fight, we like for this to go all 15 minutes and the even payout is icing on the cake.