DuPlessis Favored Over Fading Contender
This is the proverbial passing of the torch as Dricus Du Plessis looks to go over Darren Till on Saturday night. The UFC betting lines favor the South African as he looks to extend his unbeaten UFC streak to four. Till, on the other hand, needs to halt his losing skid if he is to remain a contender in the 185-pound division.
Du Plessis Looking to Take Till’s Spot
Till had his time. Now, it’s Du Plessis’s time. At least that’s what he and his backers are expecting. The online sports betting odds certainly support this narrative. The 28-year-old is a former KSW champion and is a well-rounded MMA fighter, even if he’s made a name for himself with his kickboxing prowess.
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Four of his last six victories have come by way of knockout, including one over Roberto Soldic, who has been terrorizing international promotions. But while Du Plessis has dynamite in his hands, he’s also a potent grappler. In fact, nine of his 17 wins have come by submission.
Don’t scoff at Du Plessis’s 18 percent takedown accuracy in the UFC. That is a small sample size and a lot of it came against Brad Tavares, who has an 80 percent takedown defense. Du Plessis will mix it up and be a danger to Till or to anyone at middleweight.
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Does Till Still Have It?
The answer better is an emphatic “YES!” if Till is to pull off an upset here. “The Gorilla” was once an unstoppable prospect. But since getting a title shot at 170 pounds, he’s won just one of his last five fights. In fact, Till has either lost or pulled out of a fight more times (seven) than he’s won in the UFC (six).
While Till is only 29, he has been through so many injuries that it’s worth questioning if he’s still the same fighter. If he is, then +150 to bet online on him is a good investment. After all, Till is 4-1-1 as an underdog in the UFC. Bettors would still be up big on Till.
The key for Till is to be the more disciplined fighter here. He defends against 58 percent of the significant strikes thrown at him and he has fought tougher opponents.
Till vs Du Plessis Head-to-Head
Till and Du Plessis are close to the same size and age. Both also fight in the southpaw stance, though Du Plessis can switch stances. As Mike Goldberg used to say, they are (nearly) “virtually identical.”
Till vs Du Plessis Fight Information
- Fighters: Till (18-4-1) vs Du Plessis (17-2-0)
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
- Day/Time: Saturday, Dec. 10, 10 p.m. ET
- Till vs Du Plessis Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
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Till vs Du Plessis Betting Lines
Till vs Du Plessis Picks & Prediction
Du Plessis is the rightful favorite here, though we can’t fault anyone for taking the dog shot on Till. The Liverpudlian is more experienced. However, Du Plessis has the momentum and is the more explosive fighter. As reckless as he can get, he has a decent fight IQ. Additionally, the best UFC bet can also be the total to go under 2½ at -160 with each fighter capable of KO’ing the other.
Dricus Du Plessis is listed at -180 in our Vegas UFC lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Du Plessis, you can win $56. Darren Till is -150, offering a chance to win $150 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Du Plessis a 64.29% chance to win, with Till at 40.00%. Bet on UFC Right Away!