With UFC 266 happening Saturday, there are plenty of ways to stack a lucrative parlay. We’re turning to a pair of main card fights to go longer than the UFC betting lines estimate as to the main part of our parlay. Then we’ll add two more underdog bets to turn this into the get-rich-quick play for the week.
UFC 266: Two Leg-Parlay Plus Two More Dog Bets
Robbie Lawler vs Nick Diaz Goes Over
Betting between Robbie Lawler (28-15-0) and Nick Diaz (26-9-0) may be difficult, but the best UFC bet here is to pick them to go longer than the total at 3.5 rounds. Both Diaz and Lawler have granite chins even if they’re long in the tooth and even if Diaz did knock Lawler out in their first bout 17 years ago.
Lawler and Diaz should also be less prolific here than they used to be. Diaz also has a penchant for screwing around in his fights like he did against Anderson Silva six years ago. He may hurt Lawler but instead of going for the kill, he’ll showboat (a trait his brother, Nate also shares). This one is going the distance but for parlay purposes, we’re taking the over.
Pick: Over 3½ (-160)
Valentina Shevchenko vs Lauren Murphy Goes Over
There is no value on Valentina Shevchenko (21-3-0) from as a straight sports bet at -1500. Not even as part of a parlay. The play here is to bet on the total to go over 2.5 rounds. Murphy (15-4-0) is a tough cookie and has never been finished or even dropped in her 19 pro fights.
Shevchenko also has a tendency to grind out opponents in a slow and methodical approach. She did finish four of her seven fights at flyweight but her snoozefest bouts against Jennifer Maia and Liz Carmouche stand out. Add the over here to the parlay and double your wager.
Pick: Over 2½ (-120)
Parlay: Lawler-Diaz Over 3½ (-160) and Shevchenko-Murphy Over 2½ (-120) at +197
Add: Uros Medic vs Jalin Turner Goes Under
Whereas we’re banking on the two fights above to go far, we’re going the other direction here. Both Uros Medic (7-0-0) and Jalin Turner (10-5-0) are finishers. Medic, in particular, has finished his last six fights within 1.5 rounds mostly by knockout. Turner also has a few one-round finishes to his belt.
But what we’re betting online here for is for Medic to catch Turner and put him away early. Turner is a massive lightweight that will cut a lot of weight. The weight cut could lead him slow and depleted and a perfect target for Medic’s fast and powerful hands. Adding this to the parlay pumps it up to almost 6-1.
Pick: Under 1½ (+125)
Parlay: Lawler-Diaz Over 3½ (-160), Shevchenko-Murphy Over 2½ (-120), and Medic-Turner Under 1½ (+125) at +570
Add: Marlon Moraes To Defeat Merab Dvalishvili
From a title challenger to the most faded fighter on the prelims, Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) opened at a pick’em price then got bet up to being a +200 underdog. Merab Dvalishvili (13-4-0) is no slouch, but he’s a step down from the contenders and former champions Moraes fought.
Moraes is also still in his prime and is one of the fastest starters in the UFC. He owns three straight first-round wins with one over the current champion, Aljamain Sterling. Even if he doesn’t finish Dvalishvili, he could still win the first half of the fight and edge this one on the scorecards. He’s worth a straight bet and adding him to this parlay will turn it into a millionaire maker.