UFC 269 is one of the most impressive betting cards we have seen in years. It’s packed with top-level fighters and there is excellent value to be snapped up by bettors.
We have hand-picked the best four value fights in Las Vegas this Saturday, including two former UFC champions, who could be up against it. We also include the title fight between Charles Oliveira vs Dustin Poirier.
UFC betting odds are available for every fight, so let’s dive into our parlay.
Pedro Munhoz vs Dominick Cruz
There has been solid betting support for former champion Dominick Cruz, but we think he should have stayed retired.
Cruz started his comeback with a knockout loss to Henry Cejudo before beating Casey Kennedy via decision at UFC 259. We weren’t overly impressed by that performance and Pedro Munhoz is on the quick back-up.
Munhoz lost to Jose Aldo at UFC 265 in August. He’s keen to avenge that loss and get back to his best form, which saw him knockout Cody Garbrandt in 2019.
The sportsbook has Munhoz at -120 to beat Cruz, who will use his awkward style to confuse the favorite. However, the power edge is in the camp of Munhoz, who will land powerful body shots to the aging fighter.
It’s also a concern that Cruz opted to fight Munhoz instead of Sean O’Malley, according to the superstar.
“Last I said, you know Dominick Cruz is ducking me. Which is kind of I mean hey, It’s like you wanna fight Sean O Malley on the main card or you want to fight Pedro Munhoz on the prelims. He picked prelims, Pedro, so that fight’s not there,” O’Malley told EssentiallySports.
Pick: Pedro Munhoz -120
Geoff Neal vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
The welterweight division clash between Geoff Neal and Santiago Ponzinibbio could be one of the best fights of the night.
We’re in the camp of Ponzinibbio, who returned after a three-year hiatus with a loss to Li Jingliang, but he bounced back with a win over Miguel Baeza.
The 35-year-old was always going to need a few fights to get back to his best. He can showcase his best against Neal, who hasn’t been the same fighter over the last two years.
Neal made headlines when beating Mike Perry and Niko Price by knockout, but he looked flat against Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson and Neil Magny.
Betting online markets are respecting Neal’s ability at +105, but most of the support has come for Ponzinibbio. He looks fit and ready to make his second run at a potential title shot.
We’re happy to include him at -135 in our UFC 269 parlay.
Pick: Santiago Ponzinibbio -135
Kai Kara-France vs Cody Garbrandt
Respect must be shown to former champion Cody Garbrandt, but we think Kai Kara-France gets the better of him.
As they say in New Zealand, ‘Give em’ a taste of Kiwi’ which is what Kara-France will endeavor to do on Saturday.
The Kiwi has improved significantly over the last few years and he looked excellent when knocking out Rogerio Bontorin in March. That win propelled him up the flyweight rankings and next on the agenda is the enigmatic Garbrandt.
The former UFC bantamweight champion hasn’t had the smoothest career since beating Dominick Cruz for the title. He was manhandled by T.J. Dillashaw twice before being knocked out by Pedro Munhoz.
He owns only one win since winning the title, so momentum is with Kara-France. He’s paying +110, which makes him one of our UFC best bets.
Pick: Kai Kara-France +110
Charles Oliveria vs Dustin Poirier
The lightweight title fight is set to be an explosive encounter and we can’t wait.
Charles Oliveira is the current champion and he is one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the UFC. However, Dustin Poirier is a man on a mission.
He made short work of Conor McGregor, who is more focused with fighting people outside the Octagon. Beating McGregor isn’t the best form guide, but Poirier made him look silly.
The American has been on a tear and we’re excited to see what he can do against a well-rounded fighter in Oliveira.
It will be a high-intensity fight, which plays into the hands of the challenger. Betting online markets have Poirier at -165, so there is steady support for the popular MMA artist.