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UFC 300 Delivers: We Unveil the Best Bets for Zhang vs Yan

The streak of Ultimate Fighting Championship’s lackluster Fight Night events is finally over, and the wait was worth it. UFC 300, live from the T-Mobile arena, boasts one of the most impressive line-ups of scheduled fights in MMA history!

The women’s strawweight championship will be decided in an all-out Chinese battle for gold in the evening’s co-main event, and I’m here to help you discover the best UFC bets for this eagerly anticipated contest.

UFC 300 Delivers: We Unveil the Best Bets for Zhang vs Yan
UFC 300 Delivers: We Unveil the Best Bets for Zhang vs Yan

The grandest stage is set, and the betting lines are live, so let’s waste no time and jump straight into our deep dive of the UFC 300 co-main event between Weili Zhang and Xiaonan Yan.

UFC 300 Information

  • Date & Time: Saturday, April. 13, 2024 – 06:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass & ESPN+
  • Main Event Bout: Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Zhang Weili vs. Xiaonan Yan
  • Moneyline Probability: Weili – 83.3% (-500) Yan – 22.2% (+350)

 

Zhang vs Weili Betting Odds


 

UFC 300: Fighter Previews

Weili “Magnum” Zhang

With stoppage victories over the likes of Carla Esparza, Joana Jedrzejcyk (Twice!), and Jessica Andrade, you already know the first Chinese-born UFC champion in the promotion’s history isn’t to be messed with.

Zhang, 34, has been a force to be reckoned with in the octagon, boasting an almost flawless record. Even her back-to-back losses to Rose Namajunas, a formidable opponent, hold no shame. In fact, some argue that she won the split-decision rematch, leaving the outcome of that feud still up for debate.

Overall, though, she’s 8-2 in the promotion, with two strawweight championship wins to her name. Her most recent three opponents haven’t come close, which is likely a reason why our BetUS sportsbook placed her in the -500 region this weekend.

 

 

Zhang Betting Trends

  • In 10 UFC bouts to date, Zhang has been a betting underdog just once
  • Zhang has gone the distance in 50% of her UFC bouts
  • Zhang has won 2 of her previous 4 UFC bouts by decision

 

Xiaonan “Nine” Yan

For the most part, Xiaonan Yan has flown under the radar. However, she holds an identical UFC record to the champ (8-2), albeit without the finishing ability. That said, with an emphatic counter-right knockout of Andrade last time out, her presence in this weight class could no longer be neglected.

Similar to Zhang, one of Yan’s losses (Marina Rodriguez at UFC 272) ended a split decision that could’ve and probably should have gone her way. However, she refused to look back, and with a two-fight win streak over respected names in the division, she’s now gunning for the gold against her fellow countrywoman.

 

 

Zhang Betting Trends

  • Yan has lost just one of her 21 career pro bouts via KO/TKO or submission
  • Yan has cashed as the betting underdog in three of her 10 UFC bouts
  • Yan has won 88% of her UFC bouts via decision

 

 

Zhang vs Yan: Tale of The Tape

Zhang
Yan
U
Country
B
34
Age 
34
24-3-0 
Pro Record (Win/Loss)
17-3-0
11 KOs, 8 Submissions
KO/Sub/Dec
7 KOs, 1 Submission
5’4” 
Height 
5’5” 
63.0”
Reach 
63.0” 
12:25 
Avg Fight Time
14:02 
0.36
Knockdown Avg (15 min)
0.11
5.94
Avg Strikes Landed Per Min
5.55 
2.29
Takedown Avg (15 min)
0.86
W/W/W/L/L
Win/Loss (Last 5)
W/W/L/L/W

 

UFC 300: Main Event Breakdown & Analysis

Zhang Fight Style & How Can Zhang Defeat Yan

While I do not agree with the -500 moneyline price that Las Vegas UFC odds are providing us with, it’s difficult not to side with the reigning champion walking out of Sin City with the gold still around her waist.

As a complete mixed martial artist, she’s undoubtedly the A-side. She won’t have a size or even a technical advantage in the striking realm over Yan, but she’s certainly the most powerful of the two, and her volume game can undeniably keep pace with the challenger’s high output.

However, I believe the difference between losing the title and success lies in the grappling upside. Zhang has great BJJ, her wrestling has been excellent thus far, and the athleticism she brings to the cage is unmatched.

Watching her wrestle Amanda Lemos for almost five rounds and dominating to a unanimous decision should be a concern for Yan. We’ve watched the underdog struggle in the bottom position numerous times, and this would be a clear path to victory for the champ.


Yan Fight Style & How Can Yan Defeat Zhang

Aside from a questionable grappling defense, where we’ve witnessed the likes of Mackenzie Dern scramble from bottom position into full guard, there isn’t much not to like about Yan.

Yan enters UFC 300 as the cleaner striker with excellent cardio and movement. In addition, she enters as a challenger, so a motivation factor could undoubtedly favor her this weekend.

Ultimately, Yan needs to keep this fight standing to avoid disappointment. As the longer fighter, we should expect some nice counter-striking to keep Zhang at bay, and should she manage to maintain at least 15 minutes of striking exchanges, she has the potential to edge this one out.

Zhang vs Yan Prediction:

UFC 300 Best Bet: Over 4 ½ Rounds (-105)

As previously mentioned, Zhang is the more equipped and well-rounded fighter; it’s just a shame that our UFC predictions tonight can’t back her without having to risk five units (500). This puts me in a predicament where we must look elsewhere for value. Considering the magnitude and significance of the contest, a five-round war isn’t out of the realm of possibilities, thus pointing a potential wager to the total.

Yan was unfortunate to be placed in a crucifix position by Esparza, and this has been her only loss inside the distance in 21 professional bouts. For Zhang, losing to Namajunas via head-kick knockout was clearly a glitch in the system, as she’s also avoided stoppage losses in all but one of her career contests.

Of course, it isn’t always a game of numbers. Still, I believe these ladies’ defensive attributes back up the over 4½ rounds, and the durability they’ve displayed throughout their respective MMA tenures, alongside the pride of representing China, will likely lead this contest through a complete 25-minute war.

 

UFC 300 Co-Main Event Prediction: The Crystal Ball

In this battle of China championship matchup, a quick glance at my crystal ball reveals that Zhang’s expertise and complete skill set will assist her in receiving the nod on the judge’s scorecards. Yan will deliver a valiant effort, but Zhang’s wrestling will be the difference-maker as she retains the strawweight championship.

Potential UFC Bets from Zhang Win By Decision:

 

 

Questions Of The Day

What’s the UFC 300 Main Event?


Alex Pereira will defend his light heavyweight championship versus former 205-pound-champion Jamahal Hill in the UFC 300 main event.

Who’s the Biggest Favorite on the UFC 300 Main Card?


Weili Zhang, priced with a -500 moneyline, is the biggest favorite on the UFC 300 main card as she defends her strawweight championship versus fellow Chinese fighter Xiaonan Yan.

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