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UFC 300’s Money Fight: Expert Predictions and Bets for Nickal vs Brundage

The UFC’s 300th Pay-Per-View event is a monumental occasion, and we’re here to cover the most significant UFC odds tonight, including the highly anticipated clash between Bo Nickal and Cody Brundage.

Bo Nickal is potentially the most talented amateur wrestler on the roster. He will put his 5-0 undefeated MMA streak on the line when he clashes with Cody Brundage, the biggest underdog on the card.

UFC 300’s Money Fight: Expert Predictions and Bets for Nickal vs Brundage
UFC 300’s Money Fight: Expert Predictions and Bets for Nickal vs Brundage

The stage is set, and the MMA betting lines are live, so let’s waste no time and jump straight into our deep dive of this UFC 300 main card bout.

UFC 300 Event Information

  • Date/Time: Saturday, April. 13, 2024 – 06:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass
  • Main Event Bout: Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Weili Zhang vs Xiaonan Yan
  • Moneyline Probability: Nickal – 94.1% (-1600) Brundage – 11.8% (+750)


Nickal vs Brundage Betting Odds


UFC 300: Fighter Previews

Bo Nickal

Nickal is the subject of much discussion and gossip because he is labeled UFC’s golden boy. He’s a highly accomplished amateur wrestler who has been training with the American Top Team for a considerable period of time and maintains an unblemished 5-0 record as a pro-MMA athlete.

He quickly gained attention for his exceptional talents in multiple areas. He has competed in the Octagon four times, including two appearances on Contender Series and his official UFC career; thus far, no opponent has managed to last beyond the three-minute mark.



  • Nickal has won all five of his pro-MMA bouts in the first round
  • Nickal has never fought longer than two minutes, 54 seconds
  • Nickal is the biggest betting favorite at UFC 300


Cody Brundage

In contrast, Brundage lacks the same level of excitement and anticipation. The Factory X Muay Thai representative, who joined the promotion in 2021, has achieved a UFC record of .500 in eight fights. However, it’s worth noting that all of his wins have been secured inside the distance.

At UFC 300, Brundage is the most probable fighter of all 26 combatants to lose his fight. Our sportsbook has seen prices as high as +850, but the underdog currently sits around the +750 mark, which could be viewed as disrespectful, no matter how promising Bo’s future might be.



  • All four of Brundage’s UFC wins were by KO/TKO, submission, or DQ
  • Brundage has gone the distance in just two of his eight UFC fights
  • Brundage was knocked out or submitted in three of his four UFC losses


Nickal vs Brundage: Tale of The Tape

Pro Record (Win/Loss)
2 KOs, 3 Submissions 
5 KOs, 3 Submissions
Avg Fight Time
Knockdown Avg (15 min)
Avg Strikes Landed Per Min
Takedown Avg (15 min)
Win/Loss (Last 5)


UFC 300: Main Card Breakdown and Analysis

As a four-time All-American and three-time NCAA champ in wrestling, Bo Nickal’s wrestling accomplishments are a huge reason for the hype generated around his name. However, thus far, he’s backed up the hype and ran through the opposition without breaking a sweat.

For Brundage, he’ll certainly be the “best” wrestler Nickal has faced to date, but let’s be honest, he doesn’t have the credentials to match the All-American, and the threat of a takedown will be present before the first bell even rings.

In the striking realm, we should expect Brundage to find some success. Still, even then, he’s hardly known for being technical at range, so to come on the inside of Bo will again present a scary takedown threat, and ultimately, it shouldn’t be long before UFC 300’s biggest favorite will have his way on the ground.

Nickal vs Brundage Prediction

UFC 300 Best Bet: Nickal By KO/TKO and Round 1 [+200]

Nobody requires a long-winded and deep technical analysis on this bout; the writing is on the wall. While Nickal’s inexperience is undoubtedly a concern at -1600, anybody entering a contest with such a number is destined to win via knockout or submission.

Therefore, when considering UFC picks and parlays, we have to think outside the box. Nickal’s wrestling and previous submission wins are expected to be his route to victory this weekend, but the knockout potential has been overlooked.

With a $300k bonus up for grabs, Nickal will understand that his chance of collecting such a bonus will be higher if he finds a highlight reel knockout. Submissions are great, but they don’t compete with the KO/TKO factor, and at +200 for the wrestling standout to finish his food in the first round, it’s a price point we cannot ignore.

Nickal emphatically finished Val Woodburn via TKO last time out; Brundage has lost two of his pro career fights via round one knockout, so personally, I believe this prop wager on Nickal is some of the best value we’re going to get to avoid flirting with too much juice.


UFC 300 Nickal vs Brundage Prediction: The Crystal Ball

In this UFC 300 main card matchup, a quick rub of my crystal ball reveals that Bo Nickal’s wrestling hype train will continue. Brundage’s low hands from being hesitant of the takedown will leave his head open for the esteemed college wrestler to find an early-round-one knockout or TKO.



Potential UFC Bets from a Bo Nickal Round 1 KO/TKO

  • Nickal Round One KO/TKO [Best Bet] [+200]
  • Nickal Moneyline [-1600]
  • Under 1 ½ Rounds [-350]
  • Nickal Round 1 [-285]
  • Either Fighter Round 1 [-200]
  • Nickal To Win By KO/TKO [+130]
  • Fight To Go The Distance/No [-1500]



Questions Of The Day

Can Cody Brundage Defeat Bo Nickal?

In the world of mixed martial arts, anything is possible. However, Bo Nickal’s huge wrestling advantage is a viable reason why he’s the biggest betting favorite at UFC 300.

What’s the UFC 300 Co-Main Event?

In an all-Chinese battle, the current women’s strawweight champion, Weili Zhang, will defend her crown versus a fellow countrywoman and number-one contender, Xiaonan Yan.

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