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UFC 310 Prop Picks: Lock In Pantoja by Decision December 07

· Dec 06 - 4 minutes read

UFC 310 prop betting lines have value odds across the PPV card on Saturday.
Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura headlines our prop picks.
Get the best UFC 310 odds for the fight at our BetUS sportsbook.

Our best UFC 310 prop pick comes with the main event between Alexandre Pantoja and Kai Asakura, where we expect the champion to get the job done.

UFC 310 Prop Picks: Lock In Pantoja by Decision Dec 07 — Alexandre Pantoja | Thiago Ribeiro/AGIF via AFP

We have three of the best UFC prop bets for the pay-per-view card in Las Vegas, and there is excellent value available for the entire card.

UFC 310 Fight Information

Date/Time: Saturday, Dec. 7 at 10 p.m. ET
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
UFC 310 Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Main Event Fight: Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura

Monitor UFC news for any updates in advance of Saturday night’s fights.

3 UFC 310 Prop Picks

1. Pantoja to Score Decision Win (+300)

Most of the early money has come for Pantoja to win by submission, but we’re backing the flyweight champion to win by decision.

The 34-year-old won by decision against Steve Erceg at UFC 301, so he comes off a five-round fight and that holds him in good stead against Asakura, who we don’t think is much of a threat.

Alexandre Pantoja is 9-0 vs. current top 10 flyweights. #UFC310 pic.twitter.com/GHKuo00GN9

— DiaztwinsMMA (@DiaztwinsMMA) December 4, 2024

However, we value Asakura’s toughness, which adds weight to our UFC prop bet of Pantoja by decision. It pays +300 and that’s much better than we expected for the champion.

With decision wins over Brandon Royval, Brandon Moreno and Manel Kape on his record, it’s tough to look past Pantoja by decision as the UFC best bet.

Bet: Alexandre Pantoja by Decision (+300)

2. Rakhmonov by Submission (+170)

One of our best UFC 310 prop picks is Shavkat Rakhmonov to defeat Ian Machado Garry by submission, and the proof is in the pudding.

The 30-year-old Kazakh fighter scored submission wins over Stephen Thompson and Geoff Neal in 2023, and although he hasn’t fought since, time off doesn’t usually matter for the welterweight fighter.

“This past year has been crucial for me,” Rakhmonov said.

“I took the time to focus on my health and address some lingering injuries that needed attention. It wasn’t easy stepping away from competition, but it allowed me to fully recover and recharge. Now, I feel stronger, healthier, and more prepared than ever to return to the cage.”

Per Garry vs Rakhmonov stats, all but one of the Kazakh’s UFC wins have come by decision. Garry is unbeaten with 15 wins, and we respect his chances, but Rakhmonov is on another level and we haven’t been impressed with Garry’s last few fights.

Bettors get +175 for the favorite to win by submission with online betting odds, and we can’t turn it down.

Bet: Shavkat Rakhmonov by Submission (+170)

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3. Reyes to KO Smith (-140)

Dominik Reyes is 13-4 and he’s a great chance to win by knockout against Anthony Smith on Saturday.

He took only two minutes to knockout Dustin Jacoby in June, and that was an excellent bounce-back effort after suffering KO losses to the likes of Jan Blachowicz and Jiri Prochazka.

“The cool thing about winning, you don’t feel like you have to go home and make all these changes and do all these adjustments,” Reyes said.

“Yeah, adjustments need to be made, always, but it’s not like I have to start over and like, ‘Oh man, we have to fix what went wrong,’ we’ve got to do all these things.”

Facing an ageing Smith is exactly what the doctor ordered, and most of the money has come for the favorite. Reyes is a -140 chance to win by knockout, which is worth including in UFC parlay picks.

Bet: Dominik Reyes by KO (-140)