UFC 311 Prelim Picks 1/18: Talbott KO Best Bet
- Grant Dawson is our moneyline pick vs Diego Ferreira at UFC 311.
- Bet Payton Talbott to make quick work of Raoni Barcelos.
- Make bank with our UFC picks! Join with our promo code HUDDLE125.
There are four fights on the UFC 311 prelim card, headlined by Payton Talbott vs Raoni Barcelos, where Talbott is a firm -1200 favorite with UFC odds.

It’s a stacked prelim card, so let’s get stuck into finding some winners.
UFC 311 Information
- Date/Time: Saturday, Jan. 18, 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA
- Islam Makhachev vs Arman Tsarukyan Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
- Main Event Fight: Islam Makhachev vs Arman Tsarukyan
Monitor UFC news for any updates in advance of Saturday night’s fight.
UFC 311 Prelim Picks
Payton Talbott by KO (-190)
There has been no money with our BetUS sportsbook for Barcelos to beat Talbott, so we’re going with the favorite to win by knockout.
The 9-0 fighter is 11 years younger than Barcelos and he hasn’t put a foot wrong since signing with the UFC. He knocked out Cameron Saaiman and Yanis Ghemmouri, and he took only 19 seconds to get rid of Ghemmouri at UFC 303.
If Payton Talbott sleeps Barcelos, the kid is gonna be a STAR pic.twitter.com/wnRyNTBMfD
— AWURED0 (@AOUREDOO) January 15, 2025
That was one of the best KO finishes we have seen in some time and it came from a 26-year-old fighter. He’s an exciting prospect, and getting -190 for the American to continue his fine form is a good price.
Include Talbott by KO in your UFC 311 parlay picks this Saturday.
Bet: Payton Talbott by KO (-190)
Jailton Almeida by Sub vs Spivak
The co-main event on the prelim card is Jailton Almeida vs Sergey Spivak, and we’re backing Almeida to win in dominant fashion.
The 21-3 Almeida defeated Alexander Romanov in the first round by submission at UFC 302, which was a great bounce back after being knocked out by Curtis Blaydes at UFC 299.
Almeida is the more rounded fighter compared to Spivak and he has a longer reach, which should help him get his hands on the Moldovan, who is the younger fighter at 29 years old.
Most of the early money with UFC betting has come for Almeida at -440, but there is better value for him to win by submission at +125 in UFC predictions.
Bet: Jailton Almeida by Sub (+125)
Dawson ML vs Ferreira
It’s never easy to bet against Grant Dawson, so we’re not going to. Dawson is 22-2-1, so he has been kind to moneyline bettors throughout his career.
He comes off a KO win over Rafa Garcia, and we thought he would be shorter than -250 to beat Ferreira, so we’re happy with the current odds available, especially against a fighter who is much older.
The 39-year-old Ferreira has been fighting well, including wins over Michael Johnson and Mateusz Rebecki, but we don’t think Dawson will get caught by his right hand. Dawson is much smarter, so he’s a logical parlay pick for your online bet.
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Questions of the Day
Who is our best UFC 311 prelim pick?
Payton Talbott to win by KO over Raoni Barcelos is our best UFC 311 prelim pick on the pay-per-view card.
What’s the best UFC prelim prop value bet for UFC 311?
Jailton Almeida to submit Sergey Spivak pays +125, which is our best UFC 311 prelim prop pick.