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UFC 313 Parlay Picks and Predictions for This Weekend, March 08

 

Chama, or no-Chama, that is thy question: But UFC 313 live from the T-Mobile Arena this weekend isn’t just about Poatan defending his light heavyweight title against Magomed Ankalaev, we have a slew of elite level bouts to look forward to, and that’s a perfect situation for crafting the best UFC predictions.

UFC 313 Parlay Picks and Predictions for This Weekend Mar 08
Curtis Blaydes | Megan Briggs/Getty Images/AFP

Vegas will be hyped, Bruce Buffer will get us gassed at home, but in your preparation for watching UFC 313 on Saturday, don’t forget to consider wagering on the MMA parlay picks I’m about to share with you!

UFC 313 How To Watch

  • Date/Time: Saturday, March. 8, 2025 – 06:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass
  • Scheduled Fights: 12
  • Main Event Bout: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev

 

UFC 313 Top 3 Parlay Picks: Bet on Blaydes and Ruffy

1. Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan Kuniev

What in the Russian favouritism is going on here? Look, I know that our Eastern European friends have been dominant in professional MMA and have been pulverizing our Western fighters since the name Fedor Emelianenko burst onto the scene, but why have the UFC matchmakers handed Rizvan Kuniev his promotional debut on a pay-per-view event versus a top-ranked heavyweight?

 

Either it’s some sort of humiliation ritual to show the PFL how bad Renan Fereira is (Kuniev beat him] and in-turn showing that Francis Ngannou isn’t that special, or they’re so desperate for heavyweight talent that they believe Kuniev can defeat Curtis Blaydes, use his name value as a prop, and walk straight into the top-10 rankings as a bolster for the division.

I don’t have those answers for UFC news and rumors, but on paper, how does Blaydes, a 19-fight UFC veteran with experience against the world’s deadliest heavyweights, lose this fight?

Bet This Pick: Curtis Blaydes by KO/TKO or Decision (-280)

 

Razor Sharp

This matchmaking is an insult to Blaydes. I understand his durability has been aligned with a questionable chin for some time, but Kuniev is levels below him in all areas. The speed and wrestling abilities of Blaydes should be enough to win this one alone, and as the Russian newcomer will enter this bout with nothing more than a puncher’s chance, give me “Razor” to look razor-sharp and finish this randomer by knockout or a clean sweep on the scorecards.

The UFC betting odds are slightly juiced, even on the double-chance KO/TKO or decision prop, but honestly, this -280 line could very well look like a -2000 by the time this fight is done.

Blaydes by KO/TKO or Decision Supporting Betting Trends:

  • Kuniev will make his UFC debut
  • Blaydes has won 13 UFC bouts [62% KO rate]
  • Blaydes has won 18 pro-MMA bouts by KO/TKO or decision

2. King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy

King Green may have legally changed his name, but he’ll always be Bobby to us. In fact, he’s looked more like a Robert of late, as the 38-year-old from California has struggled to find success versus respectable opponents, and his only wins (bar Grant Dawson) have been against older, washed-up names such as Jim Miller and Tony Ferguson.

Since 2022, Green is winless in five of seven fights; he’s been stopped by knockout or submission in four of those losses, and a similar trend continues as every opponent that’s younger, faster, and at the opposite end of their career trajectory is wiping the floor with him.

At this point in his career, Green is nothing more than a well-known name that the UFC can use to boost new talent. Speaking of which, Mauricio Ruffy, with an 11-1 pro-MMA record and a 90% knockout rate, will be the next prospect to add Robert’s name to his resume.

Bet This Pick: Mauricio Ruffy by KO/TKO or Submission (-130)

 

The King Will Be Slayed

Excellent footwork, defensive mindfulness, and crisp boxing combinations primarily behind a counter-striking style were the bread-and-butter of Green’s early tenure in the UFC. Sometimes it worked, sometimes it didn’t, but at least this shoulder-rolling slugger held respect in the durability department, even in defeat.

We’ve witnessed a complete U-turn lately, as Green’s offensive pressure has increased. Unfortunately for him, that hasn’t worked to his advantage. Not only is he getting finished by fighters with significantly less experience than him, but they’re doing it convincingly without much kickback.

Ruffy is a dangerous, menacing striker who has put all but one of his opponents to sleep. Green, at 38, with a continuously declining level of durability, will be placed in a world of hurt this Saturday, as the Fighting Nerds will once again prove to be a gym you don’t want to mess with.

The UFC odds on Ruffy aren’t cute, but this fight isn’t going to the judges, and with an ITD prop, -130 for Ruffy to finish Green is an exceptional price at -130 when the latter has gone the distance in just one of his last seven and the former has finished 10 of his 11 wins by knockout.

 

Here are some MMA betting trends to consider before betting on this fight.

  • Ruffy owns a 90% knockout finish rate
  • Green’s four most recent losses were by KO/TKO or submission
  • Green is winless in 5 of his previous 7 UFC bouts

UFC 313 Top 2 Parlay Picks (+141)

  1. Blaydes by KO/TKO or Decision [-280]
  2. Ruffy by KO/TKO or Submission [-130]

Parlay Odds: +141

 

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

 

Question Of The Day

Who’s the biggest betting underdog at UFC 313?


Alex Morono, with an underdog price tag of +525, is the highest-value dog to back this weekend. The comeback on his opponent, Carlos Leal, is sitting at -800.

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