UFC 313 Top Prop Picks: 2 Round Betting Options You Can’t Miss March 8

Don’t worry; as your resident UFC expert at BetUS, I’m here to share my best UFC picks and predictions on this weekend’s UFC 313 spectacular, and these selections will have you scream ‘Chama’ even before Alex ‘Poatan’ Pereira defends his light heavyweight gold in the main event.

Bruce Buffer says it best: It’s timeeeee!

Only ONE can sit atop the LHW throne 👑@AlexPereiraUFC vs @AnkalaevM

[ #UFC313 | Live SATURDAY on @ESPNPlus PPV | 10pmET ] pic.twitter.com/I53CkVVFkW

— UFC (@ufc) March 7, 2025

UFC 313 How to Watch

• Date & Time: Saturday, March. 8, 2025 – 06:30 p.m. ET
• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
• How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass
• Main Event Bout: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev
• Co-Main Event Bout: Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev
• Scheduled Fights: 12
• Biggest UFC 313 Betting Favorite: Carlos Leal @ -800
• Biggest UFC 313 Betting Underdog: Alex Morono @ +525

Get the latest UFC news here.

Top 2 Prop Picks for UFC 313

1. Arman Petrosyan vs. Brunno Ferreira Under 2.5 Rounds (-155)

Armen Petrosyan (8-4) is a savage striker entering UFC 313, but he’s severely underrated due to his current 3-3 UFC record. He’s sadly been matched with many grapplers/wrestlers throughout his pro-MMA tenure, and as he’s ultimately a striker, it’s evidently affected his results.

Brunno Ferreira (12-2) is the polar opposite. He’s not technical in any facet of MMA, but guess what? He’s an absolute wrecking ball with athletic strength and striking power that’s allowed him to crush nine foes by knockout during a short 14-fight pro career.

WHAT IN THE WORLD 🤯

Petrosyan w/ the IMPRESSIVE finish!

[ #DWCS live on #ESPNPlus ] pic.twitter.com/TS0lOQdDJe

— UFC (@ufc) October 20, 2021

While I appreciate Petrosyan, undoubtedly being the more skilled fighter of the two, you can smell another meme-worthy Ferreira finish coming. Petrosyan has now lost back-to-back fights inside the distance, while Ferreira is hit-or-miss regarding win potential but gives us one guarantee: his fights aren’t going the distance.

Bet This Pick: Preosyan vs Ferreira Under 2.5 Rounds (-155)

Death, Taxes, and Ferreira Avoiding the Judges

Live by the sword, die by the sword, and all that jazz. Should Brunno fail to collect the meme stoppage win on Saturday, he probably won’t have the cardio to survive a technical striking onslaught from Petrosyan.

From his 14 professional bouts to date, Ferreira has won inside the distance or lost inside the distance. He hates the judges, which is a trend likely to continue at UFC 313, thus making the under 2.5 rounds at -155 the best UFC odds to attack!

Petrosyan vs. Ferreira Betting Trends:

• Ferreira has a 100% finish rate
• Ferreira has never fought to a decision
• 5 of Petrosyan’s 8 pro-MMA wins were by KO/TKO

Posting a Knockout Everyday For 30 Days
Day (1/30)

Brunno Ferreira vs Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues
UFC 283 January 21, 2023 pic.twitter.com/Zyol5toJWN

— GOATSANYA (@IsrealGynosanya) February 15, 2025

2. Ozzy Diaz vs. Djorden Santos

If you thought Ferreira was a judge hater, wait until you get a load of Ozzy Diaz (9-3). This man has never fought a third round in professional mixed martial arts, resulting in twelve consecutive fights where he’s either finished or been finished within the first two rounds.

Opponents of Diaz need to weather the first five-minute storm, and then the clouds will fade. Alternatively, they need to match the first-round energy and act like men possessed with a desire to finish the fight within five minutes.

I don’t believe Diaz’s fetish for knockouts and submissions can compete at a UFC level. His in-cage mistakes could write a list as long as my arm, but you never know; meme-stoppage is always live, especially versus a fellow inexperienced opponent.

Ozzy Diaz with the buzzer beater KO! #LFA178 pic.twitter.com/yDrXpocWnF

— COMBAT SPORTS TODAY (@CSTodayNews) March 9, 2024

Djorden Santos (10-1) will be the fellow inexperienced opponent this weekend, but more importantly, 70% of his pro-MMA bouts to date have ended by KO/TKO or submission. He doesn’t harbor hatred for the scorecards as much as Diaz, but when these two meet, UFC betting fans will bank on violence and a fight where the judges can take a toilet break.

Bet This Pick: Diaz vs Djorden Under 2.5 Rounds (-145)

Death, Taxes, and Ozzy Diaz Hating Scorecards

Diaz, at 34, has questionable durability, even more questionable defensive skills, and by 2026, don’t be surprised if he’s been cut from the UFC. For Djorden, we’re still evaluating his ceiling, but if there’s ever a perfect layup to kickstart his UFC career with a stoppage victory, there’s no better man for the job than Diaz.

Sure, Diaz has some heat in those hands, and that’s perfect for underbettors approaching UFC odds. Djorden could hang on the feet and land, but more importantly, he’s the more complete martial artist with greater cardio and BJJ who can end this fight in any round.

The more talented fighter doesn’t matter, though. We’re taking the under 2.5 rounds in support of Diaz never seeing round three throughout his fighting career. Someone’s going to sleep, and we don’t care who it is, so long as the ticket cashes!

Diaz vs. Santos Betting Trends:

Here are some MMA betting trends to consider when betting on this fight.

• Djorden has finished 7 of his 9 pro-MMA wins by KO/TKO or submission
• Diaz has never fought beyond the second round in pro-MMA
• Diaz lost by round one knockout in his UFC debut last year
• Under 2.5 rounds has landed in 100% of Diaz’s pro-MMA bouts (12)

Joesph Pyfer knocks out Ozzy Diaz in the main event#DWCSpic.twitter.com/uiTZIqc4y6

— MMA Mania (@mmamania) July 27, 2022

Our Favorite UFC 313 Prop Picks: Round Betting

• Petrosyan vs Ferreira Under 2.5 Rounds [-155]
• Diaz vs Djorden Under 2.5 Rounds [-145]

Bet These UFC Prop Picks Here

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

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