UFC Baku Perfect Prop Picks for This Weekend, June 21

· Jun 20 - 6 minutes read

Go with a bet on Elliot vs Ko to not go the distance (-110)
Mullins by KO/TKO or decision (-130) is one of our top props this weekend.
Make bank with our top UFC picks! Join with our promo code HUDDLE125.

For the first time ever, the octagon lands in Azerbaijan this weekend, but no matter the location, a Fight Night card just doesn’t hit right without some UFC prop bets to boost the bankroll.

UFC Baku Perfect Prop Picks for This Weekend, June 21 — Oban Elliott | © Brad Penner-Imagn Images

As the self-proclaimed UFC expert that I am, I’m back to share my best UFC bets tonight on this weekend’s UFC Baku card, which is headlined by light heavyweight savages Jamahal Hill and Khalil Rountree.

Top 2 UFC Baku Prop Picks This Weekend

1. Seokhyeon Ko vs Oban Elliot Doesn’t Go the Distance (-110)

The ‘Welsh Gangster’ Oban Elliot was shrouded with doubt regarding his ceiling as a UFC fighter upon his arrival to the promotion last February, but here are three fights in, and he’s undefeated with a trio of excellent performances, including a complete shutout KO victory over Bassil Hafez last time out.

It’s no secret that the UFC wants to boost its popularity with the Asian market, and that’s probably why Seokhyeon Ko is receiving an opportunity to snap a three-fight win streak in his UFC debut at Baku. However, has Ko bitten off more than he can chew? The Korean native will enter as one of the biggest underdogs, and we’re all too familiar with how octagon jitters can affect promotional newcomers.

De locos esta secuencia de este combate #DWCS 💢 pic.twitter.com/PsD8fiLk10

— UFC Español (@UFCEspanol) September 4, 2024

Fight Goes the Distance/No (-110)

Pressure Will Provide Violence

Ko has a history of high-pressure offense, knockout power, and the ability to leave his opponents on the canvas. However, he’s ultra stiff with his stand-up game, often leaving his chin exposed, and on more than one occasion, the same pressure-striking offense that has served him well has cost him knockout defeats.

For me, Ko has a win condition of knocking Elliot out. In this attempt, as we’ve seen in the past, he can become vulnerable to the more fluid, higher volume fighter, and with 100% of his career losses coming by knockout, the Welsh Gangster might just have the chance to record back-to-back stoppage wins.

I side with Elliot winning this fight in UFC odds tonight, but ultimately, we’re still dealing with the lower end of welterweight UFC talent, and a stoppage victory from either fighter wouldn’t be surprising. And for that reason, backing this fight to end inside the distance at a great price of -110 feels like the move for our UFC predictions!

Ko vs Elliot Betting Trends:

Ko has gone the distance in just 3 of his previous 10 pro-MMA bouts
Elliot returns from a round 3 knockout win
100% of Ko’s career losses were by knockout

THE STREAK CONTINUES 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

Oban Elliot gets his first UFC KO and his THIRD win of 2024! #UFC309 pic.twitter.com/GFLVSagev0

— UFC (@ufc) November 17, 2024

2. Melissa Mullins vs Darya Zheleznyakova: Mullins by KO/TKO or Decision (-130)

I know the women’s bantamweight division is thin on talent right now. Still, the UFC matchmakers booking Darya Zheleznyakova versus Melissa Mullins doesn’t make much sense at all, especially for for the latter, who beat the living crap out of this exact same opponent just over two years ago.

While I understand the premise of evolution and how Darya has gone 2-1 since her loss to Mullins in 2022, the fight result was so clear-cut, and she’s also coming off a round one submission loss to Ailin Perez.

To me, this is an obvious and free dub for Mullins to put on the record should she stick to a grappling blueprint, but hey, as a fighter representing Coventry, England, as a born and bred Cov-boy myself, I’m really not complaining at the potential run Mullins could go on at 135lbs.

Get the finish. Bust-a-move. 💃🏼

Melissa Mullins delivers a TKO win in round 2
[ #UFCVegas100 | Live on @ESPNPlus ] pic.twitter.com/g88kCQ7uZ4
— UFC (@ufc) November 9, 2024

Mullins by KO/TKO or Decision (-130)

History Repeats Itself

We know from past fights in UFC news that Mullins loves the ground game aspect of MMA, and moreover, she isn’t looking to sit and score points in said positions. This woman can be a savage once the cage door closes, and in a rare instance for women’s MMA, she’s finished more of her fights via KO/TKO than she hasn’t.

We also know that Mullins has struggled to make 135 pounds on more than one occasion, which brings me to why I believe the Russian will be a victim of history repeating itself: size and strength. Mullins is way too strong and athletic for the slimmer frame of Dayra to handle, and these attributes play right into her love of grounded positions where she can lay and pummel the opposition.

In the first fight, yes, Mullins got caught up on the feet in the early goings, but the Brit’s toughness prevailed before she easily found cage control, dragged the fight to the ground, maintained heavy top control, and unleashed a barrage of strikes (damn, those elbows) to finish the fight. And with that said, I don’t see many more wrinkles added to Dayra’s game since, as I do expect lightning to strike twice in Azerbaijan this weekend, thus making our UFC expert picks simple… Mullins by KO/TKO or decision.