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UFC Fight Night Mexico City Sat 24: Weekly Parlay With a Punch

On February 24, the octagon festivities resume as the UFC visits the Arena CDMX in Mexico City with an entertaining line-up of MMA goodness.

A highly anticipated rematch between Brandon Moreno and Brandon Royval will headline UFC Mexico. Still, more importantly, a total of 13 fights are scheduled, thus giving us the perfect opportunity to capitalize on the MMA odds for a fight night parlay.

UFC Fight Night Mexico City: Weekly Parlay With a Punch
UFC Fight Night Mexico City: Weekly Parlay With a Punch

Continue reading to find the latest edition of the ‘Weekly Parlay with a Punch,’ alongside the most noteworthy odds available for my MMA bets online involving this weekend’s UFC Mexico City fight card in El Águila Rea.

UFC Mexico City Information

  • Date & Time: Saturday, February. 24, 2024 – 07:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico
  • UFC Mexico City Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
  • Scheduled Fights: 13
  • Main Event Bout: Brandon Moreno vs Brandon Royval
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega

 

UFC Mexico City Betting Odds

 

Moreno vs Royval Parlay Betting Preview

With the potential to further solidify a rematch with the flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja, both Brandon Moreno and Brandon Royval must first entangle in octagon warfare in their own rematch before thinking about future title opportunities.

The first contest back in 2020 resulted in a KO/TKO win for the former two-time champion, Moreno. Still, a clear shoulder injury mid-fight compromised Royval before the stoppage.

So, what’s changed in three years? In my opinion, the most notable difference between then and now is Moreno’s assertion in the octagon and his rise to becoming one of the greatest flyweights of all time. Royval is no slouch, and he did reach title contention, but skill-for-skill, there’s a gap, and it’s siding with the Mexican who’ll fight in front of his home crowd this weekend.

 

UFC Mexico Parlay Pick Leg 1: Moreno ML (-280)

Unsurprisingly, the UFC betting odds are slightly juiced on the Moreno side, but they’re entirely justified. I see this fight pretty much identically to how I saw Royval vs. Pantoja, as Moreno is too defensively skilled (zero stoppage losses), owns excellent BJJ, and the wrestling defense to prevent all paths to victory for Royval literally.

Yes, Royval put on a great display before the injury in their first bout; however, Moreno ultimately won. Now, with three years of added experience with consistent top-tier opponents, he will be too well-rounded and refined for the underdog to achieve victory.

 

 

  • Moreno has never been stopped inside the distance
  • 80% of Royval’s UFC wins came inside the distance
  • Moreno is a two-time flyweight champion
  • Moreno has only lost (x2) to current and former champions since 2017

 

Rodriguez vs Ortega Parlay Betting Preview

Another rematch and another Mexico vs. USA situation, as Yair Rodriguez and Brian Ortega revisit their first meeting from 2022 when a shoulder injury handed the former a round one TKO victory.

In all honestly, I initially believed the underdog price on Ortega was too tempting to pass up; he’s fought and defeated some of the best featherweights in UFC history, after all. However, with only three fights on his record since 2020, a 19-month layoff ahead of Saturday’s return, and following further inspection of the first bout with Yair, I’m heavily swayed to the Mexican’s chance of victory and will include him in my UFC picks this weekend.

 

UFC Mexico Parlay Pick Leg 2: Rodriguez Moneyline (-145)

Ortega will be completely outclassed in striking exchanges, as he was in the initial meeting with Rodriguez. A five-round contest at elevation also favors Rodriguez, especially when considering Ortega’s long layoff. Sure, “T-City” is renowned for his BJJ skills, but his shoulder popped in a scrambling armbar situation in the first bout, and I believe Yair’s scrambling ability will be enough.

Moreover, Ortega’s wrestling is ugly; he hasn’t displayed strength in this area, and currently, everything is pointing toward a striking exchange for most of this fight. Therefore, the only pick to make is Rodriguez, who, despite having his flaws, is still one of the most confident strikers at 145 lbs.

The UFC odds for Rodriguez are excellent, and at -145, we can boost our UFC Mexico City parlay into plus money and take full advantage of the sportsbook offerings.

 

 

  • Rodriguez made a great account of himself versus Ortega in the first meeting
  • Ortega hasn’t won by submission since 2017
  • Ortega returns to high altitude conditions after a 19-month layoff

UFC Mexico City 2-Leg Parlay

 

Odds: +130
Return: $100 to win $130
Total Return: $230

 

 

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