UFC Fight Night Perfect Prop Picks: KO, Decision Best Bets for February 15

Don’t worry, though; I’m back again to share my expert MMA opinion on this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card, headlined by middleweight savages Jared Cannonier and Gregory Rodrigues.

Continue reading to discover the perfect UFC prop predictions for Saturday’s UFC card, including the latest betting odds.

It’s Fight Week!

Jared Cannonier vs Gregory Rodrigues at #UFCVegas102 this Saturday 💥 pic.twitter.com/FBnbQCbGYA

— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) February 10, 2025

UFC Fight Night Information

• Date and Time: Saturday, Feb. 15, – 04:00 p.m. ET
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
• UFC Fight Night How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass
• Main Event Bout: Jared Cannonier vs. Gregory Rodrigues
• Co-Main Event Bout: Youssef Zalal vs. Calvin Kattar
• Scheduled Fights: 13
• Biggest UFC Fight Night Betting Favorite: Jacqueline Cavalcanti -730
• Biggest UFC Fight Night Betting Underdog: Julia Avila +480

2 Best Prop Picks for UFC Fight Night

1. Bet Shahbazyan to KO Budka

Tell us you want Edmen Shahbazyan to give you another highlight-reel KO without telling us that you want a Shahbazyan round-one knockout win: Dylan Budka.

No offense to Budka, but he’s basically a lamb to the slaughter this weekend. I will say, however, should he survive the first five minutes, his chance of claiming his first UFC win significantly rises because Shahbazyan has round one killer energy. Then that sixth minute and second round arrives, and he turns into a wet paper bag that’s primed to get torn apart.

I can appreciate Shahbazyan’s initial five minutes of offensive striking: He pressures, diversifies his shots and headhunts like he’s playing COD: Black Ops. I wouldn’t call him a trustworthy fighter, but styles make fights, and it’s becoming clear that Budka might not be cut out for the UFC level of competition, no matter how low it is.

Bet on Shahbazyan by KO/TKO [+130]

“That is what vaporizing power can do in a fight” 😮‍💨@EdmenShahbazyan is coming into #UFCVegas102 with a KO in mind! pic.twitter.com/gOAjNDxXQB

— UFC (@ufc) February 12, 2025

KO His Only Path to Victory

Reminiscent of last week’s UFC 312 card, when I called Terrence McKinney to win inside the distance, we all knew he was a one-round finish or bust fighter, and Shahbazyan echoes that same stance.

While relying on a fighter to finish his food inside five minutes or likely lose the fight seems risky, you have to pick your moments, and stylistically, Dylan Budka is ripe for the picking here.

Shahbazyan is a firecracker in round one, with some excellent boxing skills that once, a long time ago, had him touted as a future title challenger. While that hype is long dead and buried, he’s just 27 years old, has blistering power in his fists, and versus a lower level of competition – exactly what Budka is – his round-one finishing potential heightens.

All of Shahbazyan’s UFC wins have arrived in round one, with 90% resulting in a knockout, per UFC betting trends. Budka has been a punching bag on one-two many occasions for my liking, and without any noticeable elite skills, as all of Shahbazyan’s losses have shown, I don’t see him surviving this one.

Now, the UFC betting odds are still juiced on Shahbazyan, despite the fact he’s 6-5 in the octagon. It’s absurd at this point, especially considering he’s lost as a -300 favorite or bigger on multiple occasions.

That said, he has one path to victory, and that’s by finishing the fight. As he prefers his boxing, we’ll take him in our UFC picks to win by KO/TKO and receive some plus-money, which, at least, doesn’t force us to back a juiced number on a fighter who genuinely isn’t worth it.

Shahbazyan vs Budka Betting Trends:

• 12 of Shahbazyan’s 13 pro-MMA wins were by first-round stoppage
• Budka lost his UFC debut by KO/TKO
• Budka is 0-2 in the UFC since joining the promotion last year

🗣 “HEADKICK KNOCKOUT!”

The middleweight division keeps getting more stacked! @EdmenShahbazyan pic.twitter.com/30LHec992a

— UFC (@ufc) April 16, 2020

2. Angela Hill vs Ketlen Souza:

Angela Hill is one of the most experienced women’s strawweight competitors in the UFC, having over 30 fights, and she’s fought a killer’s row of top-ranked competition during her MMA tenure. However, at the age of 40, I’ve retired from backing Hill at the BetUS sportsbook, especially when the competition is significantly younger and the betting odds are closely lined.

Hill’s best days are behind her. And I know there’s a bunch of you saying, “But Dave, she’s fought some of the best strawweights on the planet.” while you might be right, let’s face the facts here: she hasn’t won any of those fights versus high-level competition, per Hill vs Souza stats.

Hill has been a mid-tier fighter and one of the best gatekeepers for her entire career. That said, she’s now 40, with a 12-14 UFC record. Retirement is creeping up, so I expect the UFC to match her with names they want to build.

Speaking of names that need building, Ketlen Souza is 2-1 in the UFC and was unfortunate to get caught in a kneebar for her promotional debut back in 2023. Since then, however, she’s dropped a weight class and ran through Marnic Mann and Yazmin Jauregui, which might be a far cry from the level of competition Hill’s faced.

Still, she’ll have youth, hunger, a vicious nature in offense and an unbeaten record at strawweight supporting her in the cage, making a win via decision our UFC prediction.

Bet on Souza by Decision [+130]

What a kick by our new champ Ketlen Souza! #InvictaFC51 pic.twitter.com/fiMwuSfSHJ

— Invicta FC (@InvictaFights) February 1, 2023

Youth Prevails This Weekend

Don’t get me wrong, with -110 UFC betting lines on either side, I understand this fight is a close one. I see the contest as experience versus youth, and while the former often prevails, Souza isn’t going to allow Hill to thrive on the numbers game, on the outside, with weak strikes, like we regularly see.

Why? Volume and cardio are all Hill has, but because Souza has some force behind her strikes, I wouldn’t be surprised to see her cause panic for an aging Hill, who’ll drop points on the scorecards based on damage.

Hill has the fundamentals and know-how to sail to a split decision. Still, her transparent approach to MMA isn’t going to survive versus a youthful Brazilian who’ll be looking to cause damage on these rudimentary skills. Furthermore, Souza will be stronger, have an edge in the grappling department, and might even find success on the ground.

The decision machine Hill, for all her flaws, is difficult to finish, and although she won’t get the nod, this one will require the judges to intervene. I wouldn’t be shocked to see a split decision for this online bet because Souza isn’t perfect, but she’ll do enough to win two of the three rounds and let’s not neglect the fact that she’s never lost a fight on the scorecards.

Hill vs Souza Betting Trends:

• Souza has won 7 of her last 8 pro-MMA bouts
• Souza is undefeated when competing at strawweight
• Souza has never lost a fight by decision
• Hill has lost 14 UFC bouts
• Hill is 40-years-old

Ketlen Souza is 11 years younger than Angela Hill and has highlight finishes like this but is still the betting underdog at #UFCVegas102 🧐

pic.twitter.com/uzwlFoe8mc

— Finz Chats MMA (@finz_the) February 11, 2025

Our Favorite UFC Fight Night Proposition Wagers

• Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO [+130]
• Ketlen Souza by Decision [+130]

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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