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UFC Fight Night Props: Bank on Underdogs

BetUS is the best place to bet on UFC thanks to the many prop bets it offers. There is no shortage of potentially lucrative props we can bet on this UFC Fight Night. And usually, underdogs start the year strong. We found four underdogs who could be worth betting on the moneyline and via the props Saturday.


UFC Fight Night Props: Bank on Underdogs
UFC Fight Night Props: Bank on Underdogs

UFC Fight Night Information

  • Date: Saturday, Jan. 13, 4:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
  • Where to Watch UFC Fight Night: UFC Fight Pass


UFC is back at it with a stellar card on Saturday Jan. 13. Expect underdogs to get off to a solid start as the Octagon crew starts rolling in what is sure to be a big 2024.


Taylor Lapilus By Decision or Technical Decision (+235)

In a battle of top-tier prospects, our money is on Taylor Lapilus. We get why Farid Basharat is favored: he is unbeaten (11-0-0) with powerful hands. But Lapilus is no slouch and has all the tools. He’s got a two-inch reach advantage and has had more “big fight experience.”

Lapilus is 4-1 in the UFC and became an Ares FC champion fighting UFC-caliber opponents. Basharat has beaten some decent opposition but most of his record is filled with journeymen and “tomato cans.” The UFC lines are too wide here. Lapilus stands a better chance at winning a decision than the implied probability of 18.2%.

Phil Hawes By KO, TKO or DQ (+105)

Betting online on Phil Hawes makes us feel some type of way. He has one of the worst chins in the UFC. One shot from Brunno Ferreira, a vicious knockout artist, could be all she wrote. But we’re willing to bet that Hawes can catch Ferreira. After all, Hawes is also heavy-handed and is the better fighter, skills-wise.

Hawes also has the threat of wrestling, which could just make Ferreira a bit more tentative. The American did KO Jacob Malkoun with one punch. And he managed to put Deron Winn away via ground and pound. He has paths to victory here if he can avoid getting KO’d. The UFC odds are enough to make us throw a dart.

Matheus Nicolau By Decision or Technical Decision (+225)

“Recency bias” is a real thing, especially with Mixed Martial Arts betting. What if we told you that the fighter that won the first fight is a 2-1 underdog in this rematch? And that first fight was just three years ago. Matheus Nicolau is still the better fighter against Manel Kape. But folks seem to believe that the latter will go in there and finish him.

Nicolau got knocked out by Brandon Royval. But Royval is a far more unpredictable and active fighter than Kape. The “Starboy”’s striking stats is inflated thanks to this ‘Fight of the Night’ against Felipe dos Santos. But Nicolau won’t engage him in a brawl. This is going to be a chess match like the first fight. And our money is on Nicolau to edge Kape again.

Johnny Walker By KO, TKO, DQ or Submission (+375_)

Just like the Lapilus and Nicolau lines, Johnny Walker is our UFC pick since he’s being underwritten on the odds. If this was a 50-50 fight, we’d take Magomed Ankalaev in a heartbeat. But Walker is far too dangerous to bet against at his current line. The Brazilian is not just an explosive finisher but has learned to be more patient.

Walker’s biggest weakness here is similar to Hawes’: his chin. Ankalaev is not a knockout artist. But he’s still a 205-pound fighter who is precise enough of a striker to finish him. Plus, he has the wrestling edge. But wherever the fight goes, Walker can contend. And Ankalaev, looking to make a statement, may just run into a Walker elbow or flying knee. Bet Walker to pull it off.




Questions Of The Day

Which fighter do you think will have the most successful fight?

Johnny Walker or Matheus Nicolau could deliver on the UFC this week as sizable underdogs.

How do injuries for UFC fighters influence betting decisions?

Injuries happen a lot in the UFC. Monitor the live betting odds to see if a fighter hurts their hand during the fight then bet against them.


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