UFC Fight Night Props: Big Upset Looming
Method of Victory Provides Best Bang for Your Buck
There are plenty of valuable bets to make for UFC Fight Night, from parlays to straight underdog bets. The UFC betting odds for the promotion’s last event of 2021 features a slew of lopsided fights with favorites potentially dominating. Hitting prop wagers can give these bets better value along with making an underdog the best UFC bet.
- Date: Saturday, 4 p.m. ET
- Venue: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
- Watch on: ESPN+
UFC Fight Night Props
Thompson Confounds Muhammad
One does not simply beat the Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson. In his career, most of Thompson’s (16-5-1) five losses have come against the elites of the division: former champion Tyron Woodley and two title challengers in Gilbert Burns and Darren Till. His karate style is something that most fighters can’t solve and this will include Belal Muhammad.
Muhammad (19-3-0) is on a five-fight win streak but he has consistently fallen short against the top of the division. His wrestling or his striking acumen is not strong enough to break through Thompson’s elusive defense. Bet online on Thompson to beat Muhammad by points.
Pick: Thompson To Win By Decision or Tec. Decision (Ev)
Meerschaert Adds to UFC Record
Bet ya didn’t know that Gerald Meerschaert holds the middleweight division’s record for most submission victories. The 47-fight veteran has finished seven of his eight victories by submission. He’s a bit like Charles Oliveira in that all he needs is an opening and he can submit anyone.
Dustin Stoltzfus has underwhelmed in his UFC tenure and got taken down three times in each of his last two fights, which he lost. Meerschaert (33-14-0) should be able to take down Stoltzfus (13-3-0) and submit him within the first two rounds. You can find any combos of Meerschaert to win by sub, but take the sub prop by itself at close to 2-1.
Pick: Meerschaert By Submission +175
Gamrot Makes Statement Against Ferreira
Mateusz Gamrot could be the next big thing out of Poland since former light heavyweight champion Jan Blachowicz. Gamrot (19-1-0) has been whipping UFC-caliber competition for the last four years and he hasn’t disappointed in his promotional debut: destroying veterans Jeremy Stephen and Scott Holtzman.
“MMA is controlled violence and you’re going to see me control the fight from the start.”
Mateusz Gamrot (@Gamer_MMA) is thrilled to be facing a highly talented and respect opponent in Diego Ferreira at #UFCVegas45 🔊⬆️ pic.twitter.com/qjdgC1wusE
— UFC News (@UFCNews) December 16, 2021
Carlos Diego Ferreira looks to be a big step up for Gamrot. But these fighters are in different stages of their careers with Ferreira (17-4-0) on the decline and coming off some brutal losses. Gamrot should pick him off by stuffing his takedowns and lighting him up for a stoppage victory by strikes.
Pick: Gamrot To Win By KO, TKO or DQ +300
Hill Stops The Lemos Hype Train
Opposite the Gamrot hype train is Amanda Lemos. This strawweight bruiser has blitzed through her competition, finishing three of her last four opponents with two coming via first-round knockout. So it’s understandable that the BetUS online sportsbook has her as the decided favorite here.
But we’re not buying into this hype. We saw battering rams like Maycee Barber get upset when she ran into a top-15 opponent. Angela Hill, despite her 13-10-0 record, won’t be a sitting duck for Lemos (10-1-1). She’ll take the fight to Lemos, withstand her early onslaught and edge her on the scorecards. At these odds, it’s worth a shot that the judges side with Hill.
Pick: Hill To Win By Decision or Tec. Decision +450
