The Ketlen Vieira vs Miesha Tate bout at UFC Fight Night features many quality fights on the main and preliminary card, including Michael Chiesa vs Sean Brady and Pat Sabatini vs Tucker Lutz.
We have our best UFC bets for four of the biggest fights on Saturday’s card. Taking a parlay is a great way to maximize profits, and it all starts when Sabatini looks to land the knockout blow on Lutz.
UFC Fight Night
Pat Sabatini vs Tucker Lutz
We love what we have seen from Pat Sabatini since he debuted in the UFC. The American comes off a submission win over Jamall Emmers to improve to 15-3.
He is unbeaten in two UFC fights, which also included a decision win over Tristan Connelly, and we think he could make ground in the rankings.
“No. 2 was definitely one of the weirder fights to me because it didn’t have the same feel as a normal fight; everything happened so fast,” Sabatini told UFC.com.
“That being said, I’m definitely getting more comfortable and acclimated to fighting in the UFC, the whole procedure and process of fight week, and to get in there with a great opponent like Jamall Emmers is definitely something that is going to help my game moving forward.”
He faces a good test against 27-year-old Tucker Lutz, who impressed in his UFC debut when scoring a decision win over Kevin Aguilar. It was a solid first impression for the 12-1 fighter, but he faces a sharp rise in class.
The sportsbook is offering -120 for Sabatini and we think that’s excellent value to kick off the Fight Night parlay. Those odds could firm on fight day because he’s an attractive fighter who should garner the public support.
Pick: Pat Sabatini -120
Davey Grant vs Adrian Yanez
The impressive Adrian Yanez improved to 14-3 with a knockout victory over Randy Costa, and he could be eyeing another knockout win.
The 27-year-old is undefeated in three UFC fights and all three fights have ended in the same fashion. He scored a round-one knockout of Victor Rodriguez last November before knocking out Gustavo Lopez in March.
He hasn’t been tested against strong opponents, and Davey Grant will be a harder test, but he looks impressive.
Grant is 13-5 after losing via decision to Marlon Vera, who has since won again. He is a 35-year-old, so he’s a much older fighter, but experience can be crucial.
However, we can’t overlook the ability and power of Yanez. Betting online markets have him at -350 to win, but there is more value in exotic markets. Yanez by KO, TKO or submission pays -120, which is well worth including in the parlay.
Pick: Adrian Yanez by KO (-120)
Rani Yahya vs Kyung-ho Kang
The closest fight on the card is between Rani Yahya and Kyung-ho Kang, with Kang holding a slim -120 advantage.
We’re going with the favorite, who has a significant height and reach advantage. That will only help the cause of the 17-8-0 fighter, who hasn’t fought since December 2019.
He is riding a three-fight winning streak, so his form before the break was stellar. The South Korean is explosive at his best and he should give Yahya a run for his money.
Yahya owns 27 MMA wins, which can’t be overlooked. He submitted Ray Rodriguez in March and it was a good bounce back after losing a decision to Ricky Simon.
There won’t be much between them, as the odds suggest, but our UFC best bets have Kang winning by decision.
Pick: Kyung-ho Kang -120
Michael Chiesa vs Sean Brady
Sean Brady is a submission specialist and we think he has the edge over Michael Chiesa.
The undefeated 14-0 fighter hasn’t faced someone as tough as Chiesa before, but he is on the path to a potential title fight in the next two years.
The Philadelphia native submitted Jake Matthews late in the third round at UFC 259, which was good exposure on the big stage.
Fighting at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas won’t have the same atmosphere, but adding the -165 to your UFC parlay is a smart bet.
Chiesa should never be underrated as an 18-5 fighter. He also has the size advantage, but we weren’t impressed with his submission defeat to Vicente Luque.
If he gives up his guard again, Brady will pounce and put the fight to bed.