UFC Macau Parlay Picks: Two Winning Bets for Nov 23

Whether you’re willing to watch UFC Macau in the early hours of the morning or not will separate the casual from the hardcore. However, one thing doesn’t have to be considered: betting plans.

Start times aren’t relevant regarding UFC odds; those tickets can still cash in your dreams. And with that said, let’s dive straight into my weekly parlay predictions and analysis.

When they ask you what you’re up to this weekend but you’re low key just a chill guy pulling an all nighter to watch #UFCMacau pic.twitter.com/dS0UUKRizH

— UFC (@ufc) November 21, 2024

UFC Macau Event Information

• Date/Time: Saturday, November. 23, 2024 – 03:00 a.m. ET
• Location: Galaxy Arena, Macau
• How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass
• Scheduled Fights: 13
• Main Event Bout: Petr Yan vs Deiveson Figueiredo
• Co-Main Event Bout: Xiaonan Yan vs Tabatha Ricci

Always make sure to check the latest UFC news before hitting the sportsbook.

2 UFC Parlay Picks for Nov 23

1. Zhang Mingyang vs Ozzy Diaz: Someone’s Going Night-Night

Betting Mingyang Zhang’s moneyline takes some balls; I must commend those doing so. Still, I wouldn’t be overly confident in his abilities despite the emphatic UFC debut knockout win he achieved over Brendon Ribeiro earlier this year.

As soon as you dive into the tape study of Zhang, you realize that he’s fought absolute cans, barring his previous two appearances. When we talk about padded records, Zhang is the perfect example, as his Asian regional scene tenure saw him defeating countless losing records, fighters who retired on said losing records, and worst yet, he lost to some of those foes, including a 0-0 record of Luan Aguirre Elias.

Now, do I believe Ozzy Diaz is the man to fraud-check Zhang? Not at all; my point is, when betting on Zhang, there’s only one way to do it: the knockout prop! That said, and for the purpose of our weekly UFC picks and parlays, backing the chaos these fighters bring to the octagon is a more viable path to cashing our ticket, as they equally present a questionable defense but also a hunger to finish their food.

Bet This Pick: Diaz vs Mingyang Under 1.5 Rounds (-260)

Watching back tape it is very evident Zhang Mingyang has crazy power.. An absolute brutal KO!! 😳 We have a couple very exciting Light Heavyweight match ups this weekend! #UFCMacau #MMA pic.twitter.com/hQr9gi99Gx

— PARLAYKINGS 👑👑👑 (@mmaparlaykings) November 20, 2024

Why Bet the Under

Is the UFC attempting to give Zhang an easy fight on home soil? Yes. Is Zhang live for the knockout? Yes. However, can Diaz cause an upset and provide as much punching power, as well as a grappling advantage, to hunt out a submission? Also yes!

Don’t get me wrong; I believe Zhang starches Diaz inside the first because he’s a wrecking ball that will put consistent striking pressure on a defensively weak opponent. However, as BetUS UFC odds are slightly juiced on Zhang’s ML, betting this fight to go under feels much safer.

Zhang has gone the distance in just 1 of his 23 pro-MMA bouts, and Diaz has never gone the distance in all 11 of his. Round one stoppage wins or losses have been consistent for Zhang since 2018 (14), while under 1 ½ rounds have been present in all but two of Diaz’s fights.

I’d be surprised to see this fight enter the second round, let alone reach the 7-minute mark. And with that, the under 1 ½ rounds as the first leg of our UFC parlay bet, with confidence in fading durability and lackluster defensive MMA minds.

Under 1 ½ Rounds Supporting Betting Trends:

• Zhang has won 14 consecutive fights in Round 1
• Zhang has gone the distance in just 1 of his 23 pro-MMA bouts
• Diaz has never gone to the judges’ scorecards
• 9 of Diaz’s pro-MMA bouts ended in under 1 ½ rounds

FLYING KNEE KO AT THE BUZZER WHAT A COMEBACK BY OZZY DIAZ!!!!#LFA178 pic.twitter.com/FoKPSNmQs4

— UFC FIGHT PASS (@UFCFightPass) March 9, 2024

2. Carlos Ulberg vs Volkan Oezdemir: City Kickboxing Stand-Up

Since Jon Jones vacated the championship and moved up a weight class, the 205lb division has flourished. With multiple champions and a plethora of high-level matchups, the weight class that once presented many question marks is now looking better than ever.

One of the rising contenders in said division is Carlos Ulberg. You might have to hide your girlfriends when he’s fighting, but don’t be fooled by his model looks and bright white teeth because this kickboxing standout has gone from strength to strength since making his UFC debut.

The evolution of Ulberg, despite being older than most prospects at 34, has been evident. I think we thank City Kickboxing for this, a gym that’s been able to craft striking-based fights, e.g., Israel Adesanya and Dan Hooker, into complete martial artists.

Ulberg began his UFC tenure as a dangerous striker with question marks around his complete game. He suffered a knockout in his debut, showed cardio concerns, and then looked mediocre in his first promotional victory over Fabio Cherant. Since then, however, he’s seemingly pieced it all together.

With a kickboxing background, experience, and City Kickboxing alongside, Ulberg has blasted through five consecutive opponents inside the distance. He’s displayed his submission grappling ability and fixed those cardio concerns (Da Woon Jung) while also reminding us what makes him so prosperous at light heavyweight… those hands and feet!

Bet This Pick: Carlos Ulberg ML (-235)

Betting the New Era at 205lbs

Sleeping on Volkan Oezdemir isn’t wise, but let’s be honest: he’s now sitting in gatekeeper status, and his days of looking for title glory are over. Yes, a well-rounded game, including the ability to grapple when necessary and throw hands with knockout results, is always present, but Ulberg, as the fresher, more precise, and clear rising star, seemingly has the chips stacked in his favor.

The speed of the striking exchanges will be night and day. Ulberg’s ability to control the distance, stay at range, and piece Oezdemir a part will mitigate the grappling for the most part. In turn, I wouldn’t be shocked to see another brutal KO/TKO for the New Zealander when the underdog becomes impatient and rushes the pocket.

Unfortunately, the MMA odds are in agreement, and we have to sip some juice, but no worry—that’s what parlays are perfect for, and both of the aforementioned plays combined will give us a tidy +100 price.

Ulberg Moneyline Supporting Betting Trends:

• Ulberg has won 6 of his 7 UFC bouts to date
• Ulberg has won 5 straight UFC bouts by KO/TKO or submission
• Oezdemir has lost 6 of his 14 UFC bouts

CARLOS ULBERG FIGHT WEEK LFG#UFCMacau pic.twitter.com/D2TIYPLOhs

— Vinny Talks (@vinnytalks_) November 19, 2024

UFC Macau 2-Leg Parlay [+100]

• Zhang/Diaz Under 1 ½ Rounds [-260]
• Ulberg Moneyline [-235]

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