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Home » UFC & MMA Betting » UFC Picks » UFC on ESPN 38 Parlay: Stacking Dogs

UFC on ESPN 38 Parlay: Stacking Dogs

Four Plus-Money Bets That Can Pay Nearly 50x Your Stake

Paolo Go by Paolo Go
Jun 24, 2022, 3:48pm ET
in UFC Picks
UFC on ESPN 38 Parlay: Stacking Dogs, June 25

Mike Stobe/Getty Images/AFP

UFC on ESPN 38 Parlay

UFC on ESPN 38 is shaping up to be a fun and frenetic event with plenty of the promotion’s top prospects in action. With this much hype comes a lot of imbalance on the UFC betting lines. We’re here to exploit these overpriced lines by stacking plus-money bets that can be extremely lucrative if they hit.

Let’s check the latest news, stats, injury reports, and UFC Fight Night for ESPN 38 Parlay. We’ve plenty of UFC predictions for you to consider the UFC fight card.

  • Date: Saturday, 7 p.m. ET
  • Venue: UFC APEX
  • Watch on: ESPN, ESPN 2

Morozov-Paiva Under 2½ (+130)

We start off with the “anchor” to our parlay: A potential slugfest between Sergey Morozov and Raulian Paiva. These bantamweights are strikers who will do damage. In Morozov’s case, he is the better technical boxer but his chin is not the best. One clean shot from Paiva could stagger him. Paiva, on the other hand, blocks punches with his face.

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Neither of these 135ers is going to make the top 15 but it doesn’t mean they can’t scrap. The online sports betting lines have this going over 2½, which is inaccurate given how much damage the two could do to each other. Someone will get knocked out before the 2:30 mark of the third. Bank on it.

Curtis-Vieira Over 1½ (+120)

On the other end of the spectrum are Chris Curtis and Rodolfo Vieira. Most bets online are hammering the “under” 1½ rounds given these two’s propensity to finish. If we go by these lines, it means Curtis either knocks Vieira out early or he gets subbed trying. That’s a possibility. But it’s also just as possible that this one goes beyond the halfway point of the fight.

“I’m always looking for the submission and for the Performance of the Night [bonus].”

Rodolfo Vieira (@RodolfoVieira89) has his sights on getting his second career UFC POTN bonus when he takes on Chris Curtis at #UFCVegas57 🔊⬆️ pic.twitter.com/XfQj6l5ZXi

— UFC News (@UFCNews) June 23, 2022

While Curtis does have tremendous power, he is still more of a welterweight than a middleweight. Vieira is also significantly bigger and could just bully Curtis with his size. The Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu world champion will also outgrapple Curtis, preventing “The Action Man” from doing too many flying knees or spinning attacks. A finish will still materialize, but it will come much later than folks anticipate.

Parlay: Paiva-Morozov Under 2½ and Curtis-Vieira Over 1½ at +406

Add: Christos Giagos +200

An upset will happen on UFC on ESPN 38 and Christos Giagos will be one of the underdogs to get it done. The lightweight should not be a 2-1 underdog against Thiago Moises. While Moises does have the grappling edge, Giagos is better on their feet and is the better all-around fighter.

Moises’ wrestling isn’t even the best so there is a good chance Giagos keeps this fight standing where he outstrikes Moises for a victory. Bet online on Giagos and add him to this parlay to push the odds to 14-1.

Parlay: Paiva-Morozov Under 2½, Curtis-Vieira Over 1½ and Christos Giagos at +1418

Add: Mateusz Gamrot +220

Capping off this parlay is Mateusz Gamrot in the main event. While we did pick Arman Tsarukyan earlier, the widening line on Gamrot is too long to ignore. The Pole is being underestimated as he has fought in championship bouts and against UFC-caliber opponents. Tsarukyan is more of a polished fighter and his wrestling is better.

In a five-round fight, there will be plenty of tight rounds here. It could be that Tsarukyan wins three rounds, but not with how judging is these days. The best UFC bet here is for the fight to go over 4½ rounds. But for this parlay, take the dog shot on Gamrot.

Parlay: Paiva-Morozov Under 2½, Curtis-Vieira Over 1½, Christos Giagos and Mateusz Gamrot at +4758

BET THESE PARLAYS
Tags: Chris CurtisChristos GiagosMateusz GamrotRaulian PaivaRodolfo VieiraSergey MorozovUFC on ESPN 38
Paolo Go

Paolo Go

As a long-time Toronto Raptors and Buffalo Bills fan, Go Paolo knows that every dog gets its day. Paolo fancies himself as an underdog in the sports betting world as he does not come from a traditional sports background. He did not become a hardcore sports fan until his freshman days in college studying Mass Media and Communications. While he played basketball and trained in martial arts, Paolo sees himself more as a nerd who cut his teeth in sports analysis by dropping truth bombs and stone-cold facts against crazed fans from online message boards. It was here he caught the attention of several sports journalists and website owners who gave him his start as a sportswriter. He has since published with the likes of Sportsnet and FanSided and has been writing about sports betting for over five years. Paolo is thrilled to continue covering sports and cannot wait to unearth more underdogs and unconventional winners.

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