We are excited for UFC Fight Night: Derrick Lewis vs Chris Daukaus on Saturday and we have a four-fight parlay lined up.
Belal Muhammad vs Stephen Thompson
Stephen Thompson is one of the most recognizable names in the UFC, so he could be worth including in your parlay.
The 16-5-1 fighter couldn’t get the better of Gilbert Burns at UFC 264, but that’s top-level opposition and Muhammad is a step below that.
Thompson scored a statement win over Geoff Neal last December and that form has since been franked.
There is talk of a Thompson vs Chimaev fight, and he’s not backing away from a fighter everyone is dodging.
“He’s definitely a tough guy,” Thompson told ClutchPoints. “At some point in time we’ll probably be facing each other for sure. Yeah. That’s along with a lot of these up-and-coming guys. You got Sean Brady right there with him.
“I could be facing anyone of them. I could see myself facing those guys for sure in the future.”
“Wonderboy” is a popular name, so his odds in betting online markets will typically be low. Bettors get -220 for Thompson to beat Muhammad, which isn’t a bad price.
Muhammad is 19-3 after beating Demian Maia by decision. That was his best victory to date, but he wasn’t able to beat Neal when they met in 2019.
We’re using that as our best form guide for the co-main event on the card.
Pick: Stephen Thompson -220
Raphael Assuncao vs Ricky Simon
Ricky Simon is one of our UFC best bets following three consecutive wins.
The 29-year-old scored a big win over the red-hot Brian Kelleher at UFC 258, and that win resonates with us.
Simon has beaten some quality fighters over the last two years. He defeated Ray Borg in 2020 and he bounced back from consecutive losses to Uriah Faber and Rob Font.
Assuncao is a vastly experienced fighter with a 27-8 record, but he hasn’t fought this year. His lack of Octagon experience in 2021 could work against him, especially against a strong worker like Simon.
He also suffered a knockout loss to Cody Garbrandt in his only 2020 fight, so we’re firmly in the camp of Simon.
Pick: Ricky Simon -280
Dustin Stoltzfus vs Gerald Meerschaert
The preliminary card fight between Dustin Stoltzfus and Gerald Meerschaert should lift the roof off the building.
They are exciting fighters and we think submission artist Meerschaert gets the job done as the betting favorite. The 33-14 fighter has been busy since arriving in the UFC and the 33-year-old is still fighting at a top level.
He scored submission wins over Makhmud Muradov and Bartosz Fabinski earlier this year, which was a nice bounce back having suffered consecutive losses.
His worst loss came to phenom Khamzat Chimaev, who scored the knockout in just 17 seconds. To come back from a defeat like that isn’t easy, so credit to Meerschaert for sticking with it.
Stoltzfus is 13-3 after back-to-back losses since arriving in the UFC. He went three rounds with Kyle Daukaus, which was a solid effort. However, he was submitted by Rodolfo Vieira in July, which plays right into the hands of Meerschaert.
We’re happy with the -235 available to boost parlay payouts.
Pick: Gerald Meerschaert -235
Raquel Pennington vs Macy Chiasson
We think bettors are getting good value for Raquel Pennington, who has fought the best in the featherweight division.
The 12-9 record doesn’t do her justice, but she has fought the likes of Holly Holm, Germaine de Randamie and Amanda Nunes.
She lost those fights, but she owns a win over Miesha Tate, so that is an excellent form guide for Chiasson.
Pennington is -180 with bookmakers against Chiasson, who is 8-1. Chiasson defeated Marion Reneau by decision in March, but she has yet to face anyone on the same level as Pennington.
The -190 looks like a safe bet to kick off the parlay.
Pick: Raquel Pennington -180