UFC Saudi Arabia Perfect Prop Picks for This Weekend: Bet on Rozenstruik and Nurmagomedov on Feb 1

· Jan 30 - 6 minutes read

Include Rozenstruik to win by KO or Decision (+260) in your UFC prop picks.
Bet on Said Nurmagomedov by Submission or Decision (-115)
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Another week of octagon action awaits, but let’s keep it real: fight night festivities on the weekend don’t hit right without some prop bets to cheer throughout the card!

UFC Saudi Arabia Prop Picks: Rozenstruik and Nurmagomedov — Russia's Usman Nurmagomedov | Waleed Zein / Anadolu

Don’t worry about that because I’m back to share my expert MMA opinion on this weekend’s UFC Saudi Arabia fight card. Simply continue reading to discover the perfect prop predictions for Saturday’s UFC event, including the latest UFC odds.

#UFCSaudiArabia fight week is in FULL SWING 👊#RiyadhSeason | @RiyadhSeason pic.twitter.com/yKIpjqUA1H

— UFC (@ufc) January 28, 2025

UFC Saudi Arabia How to Watch

Date/Time: Saturday, February. 1, 2025 – 09:00 a.m. ET
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Israel Adesanya vs Nassourdine Imavov Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass
Main Event Bout: Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov
Co-Main Event Bout: Shara Magomed vs. Michael Page
Scheduled Fights: 11
Biggest UFC Saudi Arabia Betting Favorite: Terrance McKinney @ -500
Biggest UFC Saudi Arabia Betting Underdog: Damir Hadzovic @ +360

Make sure to check the latest MMA news before placing your bets!

UFC Saudi Arabia Top 2 Prop Picks

1. Said Nurmagomedov vs Vinicius Oliveira: No Relation to Khabib

We’re going straight back to the well with fighters competing in Saudi Arabia whose surnames end with ‘ov.’ It’s a foolproof method, and that’s all the analysis we need to do.

Jokes aside, Said Nurmagomedov – no relation to Khabib or Umar, BTW – is a Russian savage despite failing to keep an unblemished record like many of his Eastern European peers. He returns this weekend from a two-year layoff, and although a Brazilian up-and-comer riding a winning streak awaits, it’s difficult to fade the experience and well-crafted skill set of Nurmagomedov in this spot.

Vinicius Oliveira has looked great during his UFC tenure thus far. He shocked the world with a flying knee knockout in his promotional debut to cash as a +200 underdog UFC bet against Ricky Simon last time out. The difference on Saturday is that he’s fighting a professional of 15 years who’s never been knocked out, knocked down, or submitted and holds a 7-2 UFC record, which is marked with an asterisk against those pair of losses where he outstruck and out-grappled both opponents despite the judge’s questionable decision-making.

Bet This Prop: Nurmagomedov by Submission or Decision (-115)

Said Nurmagomedov trying a spining backfist off cross parrying martinez kicks, he misses but spins through into a body kick that connects. pic.twitter.com/SOshOShx3a

— Feño 🏴 (@fenoxsky) October 14, 2024

Bet the ‘Ov’ Every Time

Of course, the biggest reason behind betting on Nurmagomedov is due to the ‘ov.’ Still, there’s a lot of supporting evidence that he can school the UFC newcomer this weekend, including the fact that he could easily hold an unbeaten record if it weren’t for incompetent judges.

More to the point, Nurmagomedov has a clean striking game, respected grappling, and a nasty guillotine that should keep Oliveira’s takedown attempts at bay. Yes, the Brazilian has power, but he doesn’t have the greater technique, and without a knockout, he will lose a numbers battle.

After a glimpse at the MMA betting odds, -115 on Nurmagomedov to win by submission or decision feels like the most credible prop value. Oliveira has proven to have a trustworthy chin lately (See Sopaj fight). The favorite’s path to victoriy is unquestionably through the judges by out-pointing his foe or catching him one of those nasty aforementioned guillys!

He finished him in under a minute! 🤯

Said Nurmagomedov is back in action this weekend at #UFCSaudiArabia!@RiyadhSeason | #RiyadhSeason pic.twitter.com/S64Rgv2CKZ

— UFC (@ufc) January 28, 2025

2. Sergei Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik: The Dog Will Bark

Sergei Pavolich’s fall-off has been real. This Russian savage went from a potential heavyweight title contender behind six consecutive first-round knockouts to having his home Simpson slugging style exposed by Tom Aspinall and Alexander Volkov. Now, there’s no shame in those losses, but ahead of Saudi Arabia, oddsmakers have still priced him as a serious threat despite the kickboxing prowess that Jairzinho Rozenstruik brings to the cage.

Rozenstruik, in 14 UFC heavyweight bouts, has only been clipped on the chin and paid for it twice! More to the point, one of those knockout losses was against the monster, Francis N’Gannou. The Suriname native has a kickboxing background and unruly power of his own, so to believe Pavlovich will rush the pocket like usual and find the knockout without paying the price, as the odds suggest, is an untrustworthy spot to be in, if you ask me.

Bet This Prop: Rozenstruik by KO or Decision (+260)

Aspinall Shuts Off Pavlovich’s Lights! #UFC295 pic.twitter.com/Th5Zt6jTHr

— AJ (@PrestigePrince9) November 12, 2023

One Round of Bust

We have two heavy-handed strikers going toe-to-toe, but the favorite has relied on round one to secure the majority of his career success. Rozenstruik, the dog in this spot, is a proven five-round fighter whose cardio will allow him to find the knockout at any moment during the fight.

I see this fight as being Pavlovich in round one, or he’s doomed. Watching him beyond the first versus Volkov was an eye-opener, and with Rozenstruik’s clean counter-striking ability, he should have enough to survive those initial five minutes and drag this beast into deep waters.

BetUS Sportsbook’s odds for a Rozenstruik win by KO/TKO or decision sit at +260. Sure, there’s a potential of that getting crushed in round one, but as we have a credible striker defending it, I’m more than willing to take a shot on the dog versus a round-one or bust fighter.

Pavlovich vs Rozenstruik Betting Trends

Here are some UFC betting trends to consider before placing your wager:

Pavlovich hasn’t won a fight by decision since 2017
All of Pavlovich’s UFC wins were by round one knockouts
Rozenstruik has 14 UFC heavyweight bouts with only 2 KO losses
Rozenstruik has won 3 of his previous 4 UFC bouts
Pavlovich has lost two consecutive fights

Posting a HEADKICK KO EVERYDAY for one year! (159/365)

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Junior Albini#UFC #MMATwitter #UFC311 pic.twitter.com/FyWWrOef3B

— 🎱The MMA Mark🎱 (@TheMMA8Ball_) January 15, 2025