UFC on ABC 3 Preliminary Picks
There was a time when UFC events were like a Wild West for online sports betting. Upsets were everywhere and you had to have either a gut made of steel or a crystal ball to parlay fighters. This Saturday’s UFC fight card may harken to these days as we’re counting not one, not two, not three, but up to four underdogs who could cash on the UFC betting lines.
We’ve plenty of UFC predictions for you to consider UFC fight night
- Date: Saturday, July 16, 11 a.m. ET
- Venue: UBS Arena, Elmont, NY
- UFC ABC 3 Live stream: UFC Fight Pass
Take a Look at Other 2 Articles for This Week’s UFC Upcoming Events
- Waterson Upset Anchors UFC Main Card, July 16
- Ortega vs Rodriguez Predictions, Fight Preview, Live Stream, Odds & Picks, July 16
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Lungiambula (+190) vs Soriano (-240)
- Round Totals: Over 1½ (-165), Under 1½ (+135)
- Weight Class (Rounds): Middleweight (185 lbs) (3 Rounds)
The UFC loves Punahele Soriano (8-2-0). The Hawaiian is a scrapper and will “swang and bang.” Dalcha Lungiambula (11-4-0) looks like a tough fighter, but he’s just not a good one. Soriano should touch up Lungiambula and KO him within two rounds. For added value, bet online on him to do it within the first half of the fight.
Pick: Under 1½ (+135)
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Simon (+135) vs Shore (-165)
- Round Totals: Over 2½ (-220), Under 2½ (+175)
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- Weight Class (Rounds): Bantamweight (135 lbs) (3 Rounds)
Ricky Simon (19-3-0) has tremendous value here as an underdog. While Jack Shore (16-0-0) is also a blue-chip prospect, Simon is just better. The American is a grappler originally but has improved his striking significantly. He has a questionable chin but Shore is not the fighter to exploit that. Simon should edge his Welsh opponent.
RICKY SIMON SHUTS THE LIGHTS ON ASSUNCAO 💥 #UFCVegas45 pic.twitter.com/Qy6vfXyUcH
— UFC Canada (@UFC_CA) December 19, 2021
Pick: Simon +135
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Algeo (-210) vs Burns (+165)
- Round Totals: Over 2½ (Ev), Under 2½ (-130)
- Weight Class (Rounds): Featherweight (145 lbs) (3 Rounds)
Like Brian Ortega in the main event, Burns (11-3-0) is one of the deadliest finishers in the division. The problem with him is that he’s a “first round or bust” type of fighter. Either he gets Algeo (15-6-0) out of there or he loses a decision. It’s almost a 50-50 proposition so we’ll gladly roll the +165 for Burns to do it.
Pick: Burns +165
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Jacoby (-105) vs Un Jung (-125)
- Round Totals: Over 2½ (-145), Under 2½ (+115)
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- Weight Class (Rounds): Light Heavyweight (205 lbs) (3 Rounds)
The betting line on Da Un Jung (15-2-1) has quickly flipped, opening at +130 to where it is now. He would have been our pick for the UFC best bet but, alas, we’ll have to settle with his line now. It’s still a decent price considering he’s the more versatile fighter. Dustin Jacoby (17-5-1) is the better kickboxer on paper. But Jung is stronger, can grind, and hits harder.
Pick: Un Jung -135
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Grant (-135) vs Stoltzfus (+105)
- Round Totals: Over 1½ (-220), Under 1½ (+175)
- Weight Class (Rounds): Middleweight (185 lbs) (3 Rounds)
Dustin Stoltzfus (13-4-0) is not the type of fighter we enjoy watching. But boy does he have plenty of potential as an underdog here. Dwight Grant (11-5-0) has that rare one-punch KO power and that makes him a sexy pick. But beyond that, Stoltzfus can beat him, particularly with grappling. At +105, we like Stoltzfus’ chances of avoiding that “death touch” to beat Grant.
Pick: Stoltzfus +105
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Penne (+130) vs Ducote (-160)
- Round Totals: Over 2½ (-190), Under 2½ (+155)
- Weight Class (Rounds): Women’s Strawweight (115 lbs) (3 Rounds)
When it comes to low-level women’s MMA fights, bet the underdog or pass. Emily Ducote (11-6-0) has nice hands and can touch up most fighters in the division. Jessica Penne (14-5-0), as hittable as she is, has a sizable grappling edge. This one may play out like Stoltzfus-Grant, where Penne uses her grappling to edge Ducote in an otherwise messy fight.
Pick: Penne +130
