Darren Elkins and Cub Swanson kick off the main card at UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Daukaus.
With a combined age of 75, it’s a fight between experienced customers and UFC betting markets have generous odds available.
Elkins is the current +165 outsider, which makes him our Underdog of the Night.
Elkins at Value Odds
It’s not often you can bet on someone at +165 with the experience of Darren Elkins.
The 37-year-old owns 27 wins against 9 losses, so he has been a good bet for UFC bettors throughout his career.
The Indiana native comes off a devastating second-round knockout win of Darrick Minner, so he’s fighting well and shouldn’t be overlooked at the odds.
He showed his versatility when submitting Luiz Eduardo Garagorri last year, which was a good bounce back win after losing to Nate Landwehr.
He hasn’t been knocked out since 2018, so he has three years under his belt of avoiding major damage. That’s important for an ageing fighter, and fighting Cub Swanson, who is 38 years old, helps.
Elkins has produced some of the wildest fights in the UFC. He knows his retirement is coming, but he takes it one fight at a time.
“I’m taking it one fight at a time. I feel like the worst thing to do is put a time frame on it, and then it’s like you’re either done too soon or, you know, you just – it’s not a good thing to do,” Elkins told MMAJunkie. “So I’m just going to take it one fight at a time and reevaluate myself, and when I feel like I’m done, I’m done, and I’ll be happy with it.”
Beating Swanson isn’t easy, but Elkins is an excellent bet at the odds and he’s one of our UFC best bets.
Swanson Demands Respect
Cub Swanson is the betting online favorite for a reason. He’s 27-12 and one of the greats of the featherweight division, but he could be susceptible.
He got rocked by Giga Chikadze in May when losing by knockout in the first round. He lasted only 1:03, so coming back from that defeat won’t be easy.
We didn’t see the same fighter who knocked out Daniel Pineda at UFC 256, but he still presents a danger to Elkins.
He has fought some of the best in the UFC, including Brian Ortega and Max Holloway, but he lost those fights. Swanson hasn’t beaten a top-level fighter for some time, so we don’t see much value in the -210 price.
Elkins vs Swanson Pick
We can’t turn down the value for Elkins. He’s still one of the toughest fighters in the division and he has more wins in store.
His performance against Darrick Minner stands out and if he can replicate that effort, he should beat Swanson.
Bettors can get lower odds for less-credentialed fighters, so we’re happy to have Elkins on our ticket.