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Unlock Your Profits! A Guide to the Best UFC Louisville Prop Bets

As another week of octagon brutality approaches, I’ve meticulously delved into the 14 scheduled bouts for UFC Louisville. This in-depth analysis has allowed me to uncover the most noteworthy proposition wagers and the best UFC bets for tonight, providing you with a confident edge in your betting decisions.

The MMA betting odds are live; the tape study analysis is complete, so let’s not waste any more time and jump into my perfect prop bets for this weekend’s octagon action.

Unlock Your Profits! A Guide to the Best UFC Louisville Prop Bets
Raul Rosas Jr. and Ricky Turcios-Eyepix / NurPhoto / NurPhoto via AFPRaul

UFC Louisville Information

  • Date & Time: Saturday, June. 8, 2024 – 05:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
  • How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass & ESPN+
  • Main Event Bout: Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby
  • Scheduled Fights: 14
  • Biggest UFC Louisville Betting Favorite: Brad Katona @ -600
  • Biggest UFC Louisville Betting Underdog: Jesse Butler @ +400


Fading the Unknown: Julian Marquez vs. Zachary Reese

You don’t have to respect Julian Marquez’s 3-3 UFC record; he has lost back-to-back fights via KO/TKO, after all. However, put some respect on his nickname, “The Cuban Missile Crisis,” because when he’s on, he’s on! And he lives up to the name because all nine of his career wins arrived by beating the opposition by knockout or submission.

Zachary Reese made his UFC debut at the end of 2023 as a -225 favorite, and this is why we don’t bet chalk on debuting fighters because he completely shi* the bed. Worryingly, Brundage felt like a setup fight for the newcomer, but he couldn’t complete the task and now seems like fade material more than ever.


Prop Bet 1: Marquez by KO/TKO or Submission (+115)

Marquez has cardio for days; he isn’t afraid to fight and leave it all in the octagon. While this may have backfired against the likes of “Robocop” and Marc-Andre Barriault, his aggressive nature throughout a fifteen-minute bout is perfect for opponents like Reese, who are unproven, untested, and potentially unworthy of competing at a UFC level.

Forget the recent knockout losses Marquez has suffered because, despite this, he truly owns a solid chin as we’ve watched him receive absolute bombs and fight through them to victory.

Reece hasn’t fought beyond round one; he can often be seen pulling guard, and ultimately, there’s too much unknown around this fighter not to fade him until he proves us otherwise. In addition, the level of competition he’s faced isn’t close to that of Marquez, and I expect the “Cuban Missile Crisis” to drop bombs until the inexperienced underdog crumbles to a KO/TKO or submission.


  • All of Marquez’s pro-MMA career wins came by KO/TKO or submission.
  • Reece lost his UFC debut via round one KO/TKO
  • Reece has never fought beyond the first round in his pro-MMA career.



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Which Prospect Prevails? Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios

Dana White’s golden boy, Raul Rosas Jr., returns following his first UFC win via KO/TKO, and although the hype train of this teenage sensation was temporarily derailed via Christian Rodriguez defeating him by unanimous decision, it would seem the consensus of him staying in the win column is strong with -225 betting odds attached to his name at UFC Louisville.

Opposite Rosas Jr. will be a fellow prosperous up-and-comer in Ricky Turcios, albeit one that is 31 years old and doesn’t quite own the experience we’d expect from a competitor in their early thirties.


Prop Bet 2: Rosas by KO/TKO or Decision (+115)

Similar levels of competition with an identical 2-1 promotional record, yet the current UFC betting lines are slightly juiced in favor of Rosas Jr… why? I believe we’re looking at a tale of two fighters, one of which enters the octagon to put on a performance – Rosas Jr. – and the other – Turcios – who’s predominantly attempted to be more of a technician and outclass the opposition throughout three rounds.

Rosas Jr. has relied heavily on his grappling offense and BJJ skills to date, but we’re starting to see more of an evolving striking game from the youngster. He even utilized those fists last time by grounding and pounding his way to victory.

As Turcios is a BJJ black belt himself, he has a great case of avoiding a submission defeat, a losing result that’s never occurred during his pro career. He’s also excellent at scrambling on the ground and is a well-rounded fighter for the most part. However, I believe Rosas Jr. can out-muscle him, and with a chin on Turcios that’s consistently up in the air, I worry about his sustainability and how the judges will perceive this contest.

I give Rosas Jr. the chance of winning another fight via ground and pound or even a standing TKO, but because I respect Turcios’ durability, backing the double chance KO/TKO or decision market on the favorite not only gives us plus-money but also covers our back should the fight go the distance.


  • Rosas Jr. has won all but one of his pro career bouts by KO/TKO or submission.
  • Seven of Rosas Jr’s. 8 career wins ended in the first two rounds.
  • Turcios hasn’t fought since 2022.



My Favorite UFC Louisville Prop Bets



Questions Of The Day

Who has the most KO wins heading into UFC Louisville?

Brazil’s Carlos Prates, who competes against Charles Radtke this weekend, holds the record for the most KO wins (13) from the UFC Louisville fight card.

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