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Win Big This Weekend! My UFC Vegas 92 Parlay Picks

It was an eventful night in St Louis last weekend, but there’s no rest for the wicked, as Dana White and the UFC crew are back in Vegas for another 12 high-level MMA bouts from the Apex.

Per usual, I’ve broken down the fight card and carefully selected the most noteworthy pieces of betting value that I believe fit perfectly into our ‘Parlay With a Punch.’ So, let’s dive straight into my UFC best bets of the night for Vegas 92.

Win Big This Weekend! My UFC Vegas 92 Parlay Picks
Adrian Yanez/Carmen Mandato/Getty Images/AFP

 

UFC Vegas 92 Information

  • Date and Time: Saturday, May. 18, 2024 – 04:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
  • How to Watch: UFC Fight Pass
  • Scheduled Fights: 12
  • Main Event Bout: Edson Barboza vs Lerone Murphy
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Khaos Williams vs Carlston Harris

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Adrian Yanez vs Vinicius Salvador: Don’t be Fooled by the Record

Texan native Adrian Yanez wasted no time putting his name on the map when arriving in the UFC bantamweight division in 2020. Over the next two years, he would dominate the opposition and collect five straight wins and four KO/TKO stoppages that elevated his position inside the top 15 at 135 lbs.

Unfortunately, amongst the division elite, Yanez faltered. Back-to-back KO/TKO losses arrived thanks to the polished skill sets of Jonathan Martinez and Rob Font, as Metro Fight Club representative must now reset and evaluate the next steps of his career.

Yanez’s weekend opponent, Vinicius Salvador, has had a challenging start. While he’s faced tough opponents in Victor Altamirano and CJ Vergara, he’s yet to prove his mettle in the promotion. However, could a move up to 135 pounds be the game-changer he’s been searching for?

Parlay Pick 1: Yanez Moneyline (-420)

We have two up-and-coming fighters entering the octagon this weekend behind two-fight losing skids. On paper, it seems like a pick-’em contest, but no, Yanez has been positioned as a huge -400 favorite, and for a good reason.

Not only is Yanez the experienced bantamweight with a chip on his shoulder after failing from grace in this bout, but he’s also an ultra-talented boxer who will punish anybody without the defensive skills and cage experience that can neutralize his attacks.

Yanez’s losses were against top-ranked fighters; meanwhile, Salvador couldn’t handle mediocre flyweight opponents. Sounds like some cooking from the matchmakers to me, who I believe see a higher ceiling for the favorite.

I cannot see a world where Salvador presents a danger to Yanez that will prevent him from letting his smart and educated hands loose. What is the Brazilian’s path to victory? Aside from a lot of movement and little action, I’ve seen him do nothing in the UFC octagon thus far, and I predict Yanez’s output, power, and aggression will live up to the juiced betting odds we’re receiving.

 

 

Yanez Moneyline Supporting Trends:

  • Yanez is undefeated versus opponents outside of the top-15-bantamweight rankings
  • Four of Yanez’s five UFC victories came by KO/TKO
  • Salvador is 0-2 as a UFC competitor
  • Salvador has two career losses by way of knockout

Here’s a look at some UFC 301 odds to consider!

Khaos Williams vs Carlston Harris: Two Finishers Clash

Many will claim that welterweight contenders Khaos Williams and Carlston Harris don’t deserve a co-main event position, but let’s face facts: they have a 9-3 UFC record combined and a total of six finishes between them.

For Harris, BJJ is unquestionably his greatest path to victory this weekend. Despite his striking offensive lacking some fundamentals we like to see, he’s still delivered KO/TKO over the likes of Impa Kasanganay, a fighter who we thought owned the striking advantage at the time.

Williams can brawl while also delivering a technical offense on the feet. He doesn’t mind engaging up close, but this weekend, he should look to stay well clear of grappling situations. In his losses to date, we’ve seen him get off to a slow start, but with an opponent like Harris, I don’t see that being an option this weekend.

Parlay Pick 2: Williams/Harris Under 2 ½ Rounds (-175)

The UFC betting odds show a competitive fight, and that’s precisely what I believe we’ll see. Both men provide threats in different areas, but I do expect Harris to be the fighter presenting more dangers in multiple areas.

Harris is explosive and rarely wastes time getting to work. Furthermore, the man hates a judge’s scorecard, as we’ve only seen him go the distance in one of his five UFC bouts to date and just two since 2017.

Williams hasn’t faced such an explosive opponent since his streak of Miguel Baeza, Michel Pereira, and Abdul Razak Alhassan, and two of those fights ended inside the distance. While he’s gone the distance in two straight fights, styles make fights, and Harris will force that dog out of him.

Whether it’s Williams or Harris, expect a banger! More importantly, it is an entertaining fight that will end in under 2½ rounds, involving two 170-pounders capable of finding a finish.

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Under 2½ Rounds Supporting Trends:

  • Harris has gone the distance in just one of his previous nine pro-MMA bouts
  • Harris has seen under 2 ½ rounds in seven of his previous nine pro-MMA bouts
  • 50% of William’s career wins were inside the distance

 

 

 

Questions Of The Day

What’s the main event of UFC this weekend?


After Khaos Williams and Carlston Harris compete in this weekend’s co-main event, we’ll see featherweight contenders Edson Barboza and Lerone Murphy complete the UFC Vegas 92 fight card in the main event position.

 

 

 

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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