Does a Driver Have a Bull’s Eye?
Noah Gragson, Ty Gibbs, Josh Berry and Justin Allgaier will all drive for the 2022 Xfinity Championship on Saturday night in Phoenix. Obviously, they all have a chance to win and anything can happen in a single race – it’s why NASCAR went to this format in the first place.
It’s possible that other drivers are making sure that one driver – Gibbs – doesn’t take home the checkered flag due to his activities last weekend in Martinsville.
Gibbs is +300 on the NASCAR odds for this weekend, but he pulled a pretty faux pas move at Martinsville, bumping Brandon Jones on the last lap and sending him spinning out to a 23rd-place finish.
Jones happens to be Gibbs’ teammate on his grandfather’s Joe Gibbs Racing squad, and with a win, JGR could have had two drivers in the championship.
Jones will be racing on Saturday night, and is that where he gets his revenge – especially since he’s moving from JGR to JR Motorsports next season?
Gragson is the +175 favorite when betting online for the Xfinity Series Championship, and it would be a fitting end if he could pull off the win.
Gragson famously became just the second Xfinity driver to win four races in a row with his remarkable run in September and has a circuit-leading eight victories this year.
Gragson has never won the Xfinity Series Championship, and this would be a fitting way to bow out. He will be joining the Cup Series full time next season with Petty GMS Motorsports to drive the No. 42 Chevrolet.
Berry or Allgaier for the Upset?
Gragson and Gibbs have 14 wins between them this season, so most people assume it’s going to be one of those two who claim the Xfinity Championship with the best finish at Phoenix.
That puts some value on Allgaier (+350) and Berry (+450) as the somewhat forgotten guys at the sportsbook.
Berry has a win at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway during these playoffs, which clinched his spot in the championship race.
He also finished third in the spring race at Phoenix, and both he and Allgaier have three victories on the season. Allgaier finished 10th in the spring race but has finished in the top three at Phoenix five times in his career.
NASCAR Xfinity Championship Information
- Location: Phoenix Raceway
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 5th, 6 p.m. ET
- NASCAR Xfinity Championship Live Stream: NBCSports.com
NASCAR Xfinity Championship Betting Lines
|ODDS TO WIN XFINITY SERIES CHAMPIONSHIP RACE||MONEYLINE|
The odds in this chart are based on the time of publication. They are subject to change.
NASCAR Xfinity Championship Prediction
Quite frankly, few want to see Gibbs win this race, whether that’s fans, other drivers or even some people within his own team. The guy who should get the victory is Gragson.
Gragson won the spring race at Phoenix and comes in hot, capturing the checkered flag at Homestead-Miami two weeks ago.
He also finished fourth at Martinsville for his fourth consecutive finish inside the top four. Gragson also had a runner-up here in 2020, so he’s had some moderate success in Phoenix.
While some other drivers have better odds in the Xfinity Championship Race, Gragson is the most deserved winner and what looks to be the correct pick.